January 3, 2026, intra-day is expected to be volatile, with short-term high selling and low buying as the main strategy. Key breakouts will signal further position adjustments.

1. Core Key Levels
- Support: 88,700 (EMA120), 87,500 (bull-bear watershed), 86,000 (strong support)
- Resistance: 90,000 (psychological barrier), 90,500 (previous high)
2. Technical Highlights
- Daily chart: Three consecutive long upper shadows, heavy selling pressure around 90,000, MACD death cross, indicating a sideways and weak trend.
- 4-hour chart: Double top pattern, MACD death cross, price losing EMA120, short-term correction needed.
- Short-term (1-4 hours): RSI and KDJ show signs of turning, rebound momentum insufficient, caution against quick pullback after rise.
3. Trading Strategies (with clear levels and risk control)
1. Long Position (Conservative)
- Entry: Buy on pullback to 87,500-88,000 for support (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer candle).
- Stop Loss: Below 87,000 (500 points).
- Targets: 89,000 → 90,000, break above to watch 90,500, take profit in stages.
- Position Size: Light position 2-3%, add to 5% on breakout.
2. Short Position (Aggressive)
- Entry: Resistance at 90,000-90,500 on rebound (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star), volume shrinking.
- Stop Loss: Above 91,000 (500 points).
- Targets: 89,000 → 87,500, break below to watch 86,000.
- Position Size: 1-2%, strict stop loss, avoid holding overnight.
3. Breakout Strategy
- Upward Break: Break above 90,500 with 4-hour close above, go long, stop loss at 90,000, targets 91,500-92,000.
- Downward Break: Break below 87,000 with 4-hour close below, go short, stop loss at 87,500, targets 86,000-85,000.
4. Risk Control and Execution
- Strict stop loss, single trade loss ≤ **2%** of total capital.
- Use staged position building and take profits gradually, avoid full positions and emotional trading.
- Monitor macro news (e.g., Federal Reserve), reduce positions immediately on adverse news.
- Close intra-day positions within the same day, no overnight holdings; for trend trades, set trailing stop (e.g., EMA120).
5. Today's View
Focus on high selling near 87,500-90,000, with emphasis on breaking key support at 87,500 and resistance at 90,000. Follow the trend after breakouts, strictly control risk. #加密行情预测