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#数字资产动态追踪 $BTC
Storm Before the Calm: Bitcoin Hourly Chart Hints at a Turning Point
Everyone, are you feeling confused watching the K-line? Bitcoin's hourly level is oscillating repeatedly here, but the technicals are brewing change— a reversal is just ahead.
Let's analyze from a technical perspective:
The BOLL channel is narrowing, with the price firmly locked around 89902, unable to move. The upper band at 90567 forms a ceiling, while the lower band at 89237 supports the bottom. Currently stuck between the middle band, caught in a dilemma—this is what the "eve of a choice" should look like. The MACD has already shown signs of weakening, with DIF and DEA forming a death cross at high levels, and the histogram turning negative (-193.7)—such signals usually indicate a correction, but in a weak market, they often hide opportunities for a counterattack.
On-chain data keeps speaking: whale fund flows remain steady, large addresses show no abnormal fluctuations. What does this reflect? Institutional-level funds are waiting, seeking a trigger point. When retail investors start panicking, it’s precisely the window for calm, strategic positioning.
On the news front, regulatory attitudes remain undecided, and sentiment is tense. But the traders who truly understand the market enjoy this ambiguous phase— the more unclear the information, the more the technicals will take the lead in signaling.
Here’s my judgment:
If volume breaks below 89200, in the short term, it may probe towards the 88500-88000 range, which often becomes a counterattack point for bullish forces.
If it suddenly breaks above 90500, follow the trend to go long, with targets at 91500 and above.
Perceiving the trend early is crucial; the key is not to be fooled by noise, but to let the data speak.