Honestly, I don't have a definitive answer about Bitcoin's trend in 2026. My experiences over the past few years have long told me that crypto assets never follow predictable patterns.

Recently, I’ve been chatting with a few friends who hold long-term positions, and everyone generally feels that the market’s restless sentiment from the past two years has gradually settled. Plus, many institutions are still quietly positioning themselves. If the global macro environment continues to release liquidity, funds might seek an exit again—making the cryptocurrency market very likely to become a landing zone once more. From this perspective, a moderate upward trend isn’t impossible.

But the reality is right there. Regulatory threats are always looming overhead, and policy directions in various countries can change at any moment. Any strict regulatory signal can directly cause a market dump. Moreover, to be honest, the crypto ecosystem has become highly fragmented over the past two years, with various new tracks and new coins absorbing a large amount of capital. Bitcoin’s leading position remains unchanged, but its explosive power has indeed been diluted quite a bit.

My personal approach is not to chase blindly or rush to clear positions. Predicting market movements based on trends is pointless; short-term rises and falls are essentially a game of emotions and information. Instead of worrying whether tomorrow will be red or green, it’s better to maintain a observer’s mindset and gradually adjust positions as the market rhythm evolves. Highly volatile assets don’t tolerate impulsiveness; stability is key to longevity. As for where Bitcoin might reach or fall by 2026, it’s a wait-and-see game—I expect an initial rally, followed by a slight correction, with a chance to hit 100,000 around mid-year. But this is just my personal view based on current information; ultimately, the market has the final say.