Looking at Bitcoin's seasonal pattern, January has been a mixed bag since 2011—8 winning months and 7 losers, but the median return landed at +7.59%, suggesting slight bullish bias. Right now BTC is hovering around $92K, already up roughly 3.8% on the month. Here's where it gets interesting: prediction markets like Polymarket are pricing in a 76% shot at hitting $95K and a 42% probability of pushing through to $100K before month-end. That's pretty constructive sentiment. The question is whether BTC can hold momentum and close out January strong, or if we see some profit-taking along the way.