The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 88.4%, with an 11.6% chance of a rate cut. According to ChainCatcher news and CME "Federal Reserve Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in January is 88.4%, with an 11.6% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 40.3%, the probability of holding rates steady is 55.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 4.3%.

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