Some traders have been placing remarkably well-timed bets on Polymarket regarding potential U.S. military operations in Venezuela. The precision of these wagers—and their placement just before major developments—is raising eyebrows in the Web3 community. Are we looking at genuine market foresight, or something more? The nature of these trades has sparked serious conversations about information asymmetry in prediction markets. When certain participants seem to know what's coming before it happens, it naturally fuels speculation about privileged access. This situation highlights a critical tension in decentralized finance: how do we maintain market integrity when transparency meets real-world events with genuine geopolitical stakes? The episode serves as a reminder that even on blockchain-based platforms, information advantages can still create unfair playing fields—and that regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets may intensify as these platforms grow.

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UnluckyValidatorvip
· 01-07 23:25
This is outrageous. Polymarket is again involved in insider trading here? Information asymmetry is always the most profitable, this is the real alpha. Prediction markets are like this—those who know the answer always win. How can we be sure they really know or are just lucky? On-chain transparency is worthless; insider trading still flies under the radar. Now it's settled—regulators will definitely target prediction markets. Brothers' betting games are about to be scrutinized again.
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GateUser-0717ab66vip
· 01-07 23:24
By the way, the Polymarket betting on this wave of Venezuelan military actions was timed perfectly. Are you sure no one knew the plot in advance?
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LootboxPhobiavip
· 01-07 23:24
Uh, is it starting now? Can someone really know about military actions in advance? It feels like Polymarket is just playing an information game.
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GateUser-7b078580vip
· 01-07 23:24
The data shows that these guys are really spot on... To put it simply, market prediction is like this; no matter how much information is unequal, blockchain is useless. But still, I have to keep playing.
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MetaLord420vip
· 01-07 23:18
Isn't this just insider trading with a different shell? Even if polymarket becomes decentralized, it can't escape the curse of information asymmetry.
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