#比特币价格预测与投资主题 VanEck says Bitcoin will be the best performing asset in 2026. I've heard this many times before. Every time it's "a rebound next year" or "the conditions are right," but what’s the result? It all depends on the actual market trend.

However, I have to admit that this time the logic is somewhat plausible—this year, Bitcoin indeed underperformed the Nasdaq 100 by nearly 50%. Such extreme dislocation, based on historical data, often accompanies mean reversion. But this is not a reason to buy; it’s just a "possibility."

The key is to recognize: the slogans from big institutions are often aimed at serving their own accumulation. VanEck says "we've been buying," but they are institutions with cost advantages; retail investors blindly following can be dangerous.

My experience is that instead of trusting predictions at a specific time point, it’s better to understand your own risk tolerance and capital size. The fundamentals of Bitcoin are still there, but the best performance in 2026 might still fall short—there are too many variables in the crypto world. What you should do is dollar-cost average, set stop-losses, and avoid full positions. That way, whether the predictions are right or wrong, you can at least survive longer.