纽约州新法案：预测市场迎来监管调整，政治体育投注面临限制

2026-01-09 08:16:15

【区块律动】纽约州议员又有新动作了。1月9日，他们重新提出了一份法案草案，核心内容是想管一管预测市场。

具体来说呢，这个法案打算禁止在预测市场平台上对体育赛事和政治事件进行合约投注。但这里有个关键的例外——允许用户继续对体育联赛的最终结果进行投注。

简单翻译一下就是：政治选举、具体比赛细节这些不行，但大联盟、NBA这样的联赛最终胜负还是可以的。看来监管部门是想在控制投机风险和保留市场活力之间找个平衡点。这对预测市场生态还是会有影响的。

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DeFiVeteran

· 17h ago

Here comes the censorship of prediction markets again. New York State's approach is becoming increasingly meticulous. Regulation is like this—always trying to balance both sides, but in the end, nothing can be effectively controlled. This logic is absurd. Banning detailed bets but allowing final odds—can't I just split my orders to bypass it? Prediction markets are inherently the soul of free markets. How effective can such a ban be? Separating political and sports regulation... I feel like they genuinely don't understand the logic of DeFi. All under the guise of "risk control," but in reality, they just want to dominate the pricing power. New York's move is a bit shady, but they have so much power, so they get away with it. U.S. regulation is becoming increasingly ridiculous. Now prediction markets are moving on-chain. In the end, users will find ways around it. The more regulations, the more loopholes. If this bill passes, all the degens will just move to Polymarket, haha. Basically, they haven't thought through how to regulate properly; they're just targeting speculation.

View OriginalReply0

OneBlockAtATime

· 17h ago

Here we go again with bans here and bans there, but being able to ban political votes is a good thing. The manipulation risk is just too high. --- Wait, the final results can be voted on but the details can't? How is that fair? Is this a shell game? --- New York seems to want to slowly choke the prediction market to death, a disguised ban under the guise of regulation. --- Interesting, they keep the most profitable parts, and ban everything else... Those who understand, understand. --- Prediction markets should be regulated in the first place. The current chaos definitely needs to be addressed. --- Banning sports details but keeping the final victory or defeat? That standard is really vague, and enforcement later will surely cause headaches. --- Basically, it's selective regulation. As long as we don't gamble on politics, it's fine. --- Is it reasonable? I think it's unreasonable, but at least it's better than a total ban.

View OriginalReply0

BottomMisser

· 17h ago

New York has started playing this game again, banning this and that, they just don't want us to make money. --- Here we go again, sports betting on the final result is allowed, but not the details? Who came up with this logic? It's a bit ridiculous. --- I can understand banning political event betting, but can this kind of dividing line really stop people? Anyway, we have other places to play. --- Prediction markets are inherently a gray area. If regulation really comes, this ecosystem will definitely undergo a reshuffle. --- So in the end, only the NBA can be played? What about the big A-shares? This differential treatment is excessive. --- Interesting, New York wants to "balance"? I think they just want to shift the risk to retail investors, just for their own benefit. --- Banning for four or five years, and after the hype dies down, they'll still play. This is the routine of regulatory authorities.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHarvester

· 17h ago

Coming back to prediction markets again? These folks in New York are really bored. Just banning a detail in betting can control the risk? Haha, this cracks me up.

View OriginalReply0

SelfStaking

· 17h ago

New York, are you trying to stir up trouble again? Banning betting details but allowing bets on the final result... This logic is a bit ridiculous, it feels like they're just playing under a different disguise.

View OriginalReply0

0xLostKey

· 17h ago

This logic is very strange. Banning the details but allowing the final result? Isn't that still gambling?

View OriginalReply0

DegenMcsleepless

· 17h ago

Why is this logic so funny, hiding the details and only showing the results? Is regulation really just turning a blind eye selectively?

View OriginalReply0