The options market on January 9th experienced a wave of expirations. Today alone, 21,000 BTC options and 126,000 ETH options are expiring simultaneously, a significant scale.



For BTC, the put-call ratio is 1.07, with the maximum pain point at $90,000. The notional value of these contracts reaches $1.9 billion. The situation for ETH is slightly different, with a put-call ratio of only 0.88, and the maximum pain point around $3,100, involving a notional value of $390 million.

From a broader perspective, nearly $2.4 billion in options contracts are expiring this week, accounting for 7% of the total market open interest.

There is an interesting change in volatility. BTC's implied volatility (IV) remains roughly the same as before Christmas, with the average IV for major maturities hovering around 40%. In contrast, ETH's implied volatility has decreased significantly, with major maturities dropping to 55%.

Market sentiment is also reflected in trading behavior — today, block trades account for over 70% of total trading volume, a new high in recent months. From the open interest structure, participants are actively positioning for bullish options at the end of January for BTC, while also betting on ETH to decline by the end of the month.
BTC-0.38%
ETH-0.48%
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PriceOracleFairyvip
· 17h ago
ngl the 70% block trade ratio screams institutional positioning... btc max pain at 90k feels like a trap waiting to spring. eth iv compression though? that's the real statistical anomaly here—someone knows something or we're just witnessing passive deleveraging theater
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ChainSpyvip
· 17h ago
I can't push below 90,000. Is BTC trying to get stuck here?
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MrDecodervip
· 17h ago
Is the 90,000 level really that sweet? Feels like we're about to be tricked again.
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TokenStormvip
· 17h ago
The put-call ratio is 1.07 and 0.88 respectively, the rhythm... the eye of the storm is getting closer 70% of block trades? Whales are positioning, and we small shrimp are once again being harvested BTC still maintains 40% IV, ETH has already dropped to 55%, backtesting data shows there is usually a minor surge at this time Looking to go long BTC and short ETH at the end of the month? Fine, I just enjoy the thrill of being reversed and liquidated With an expiration scale of 2.4 billion USD, there is still room for volatility arbitrage, but I am mentally prepared for being forcibly liquidated The technical points are clear, but the real test is when on-chain data speaks for itself
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APY_Chaservip
· 17h ago
The 90,000 bottoming hasn't moved yet. Will this expiration cause another dump?
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SleepyValidatorvip
· 17h ago
The 90k level is indeed interesting. Big players are flooding this area with short positions.
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