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Do you remember what it was like when you first entered the market? Back then, you spent all day studying Elliott Wave Theory, MACD bottom divergence, Chan Theory sub-divisions—filling your screen with all kinds of indicators, as if you were cracking some cosmic code, firmly believing that tomorrow’s price movements were already written in the charts.
And then? Reality hits hard. The market always makes a reverse breakout when you’re most confident, and it suddenly surges just as you’re hesitating with your sell orders. After repeatedly losing out, many start blaming their methodology, unaware that the real problem lies in a fundamental misunderstanding of technical analysis itself.
Honestly, the biggest scam in this industry is: learn a set of techniques, and you can predict the future like a fortune-teller. Many people fall deeper into this misconception, wasting countless efforts in vain.
So, should you learn it or not? Of course, you should, but you need to understand the true purpose of technical analysis—it's not for prediction, but for setting rules.
Think of it like driving: you look at road signs and traffic lights, but traffic lights never "predict" whether you will arrive safely. They just tell you whether to go or stop. Trading techniques are the same—they don’t guarantee profits on every trade, but they provide a clear set of action guidelines.
Traders who truly survive long in the market don’t make money because their predictions are accurate, but because their rules are solid. My years of experience have convinced me more and more: to achieve consistent profitability in trading, it all comes down to two words—experience and rules.