A common question among trading beginners: "Can I have a 60% win rate?"

But let's first dispel a misconception — what truly determines whether you can make money in the long run is not your win rate, but whether you truly understand the concept of probability.

Every single trade is a probabilistic event. No matter how good your analysis is, it only increases the likelihood; it doesn't guarantee a certain outcome. The market won't just tell you the answer because you've studied diligently.

This is reality — you can't change the market's temperament, but you can absolutely control your actions. The difference between those who make money in the end and ordinary traders lies here:

Ordinary traders? They "bet on the outcome" on each trade.

Consistently profitable traders? They keep repeating those operations that have a probabilistic advantage in the long run.

Looking at those who survive and make money, honestly, they don't have any extraordinary skills. Their methods aren't even that impressive; as long as there's a slight positive expectation, that's enough. What's the key? Executing this method thousands or even tens of thousands of times amid emotional fluctuations. Trading is about accumulation, not luck in a single shot.

So where is the real hurdle?

First, can you treat losses as normal costs of the system, rather than proof of your failure?

Second, when the market is confused, can you still execute your plan as intended?

Third, when repeatedly hit with setbacks, can you stay calm and avoid reckless strategy changes?

Ultimately, trading is a long-term dialogue between you and yourself. When you learn to maintain your rhythm amid the ups and downs of probability, time will gradually tilt in your favor. Those who survive and do well in the market are always those who dare to take the first shot.

No matter how big the fluctuations in coins like ETH, SUI, this truth remains unchanged. Have you figured it out?