Today, the crypto market continues to showcase a passionate scene. The daily chart of Bitcoin features a strong bullish candle that is truly eye-catching, directly breaking through the previous high. However, it gets stuck at the upper band, losing momentum, and after the open, it mostly fluctuates at high levels. From a technical perspective, the Bollinger Bands are still opening, the short-term moving averages are beginning to turn upward, and the MACD's fast and slow lines are climbing higher, with trading volume slightly increasing. The KDJ cross is pointing upward, and the VR indicator is still hovering around 100.



Switching to the 4-hour chart makes it even clearer. After several days of bottoming out repeatedly, the market finally couldn't hold back, with several large bullish candles breaking above the upper band. However, immediately after breaking through, it retraced for a correction, and the Bollinger Bands are now in a trumpet-like expansion. The short-term moving averages are trending upward without issue, and the MACD continues to rise. Interestingly, the trading volume is decreasing, the KDJ is encountering resistance near the $100 mark and starting to turn downward, and the VR indicator is around 350.

Looking at the details, this rally took about four days of bottom-finding before breaking previous highs with strong upward momentum. However, caution is needed—although the short-term technicals are very bullish, the resistance levels above must be taken seriously. As long as key resistance levels are not effectively broken and stabilized, the continuation of this rally is uncertain. It is more likely to continue oscillating within the range. The immediate short-term resistance is near the recent high where the spike occurred, followed by the $98,500 level. If this cannot be broken, the price may fall back to the $93,000 level. Once the $93,000 support is lost, the next target could be around $91,000.

Based on this analysis, the short-term trading strategy for Bitcoin is: consider short positions around $96,500, with a limit at $98,100; for a counter-trend bottom, $93,800 is a reference point—if there is profit, manage the position accordingly.

Ethereum's movement is largely synchronized with Bitcoin, and the daily chart also shows a strong bullish candle breaking previous highs. The overall technical logic is similar to Bitcoin. The short-term support is around $3,200; if this level holds during a pullback, the upward trend may continue. But if it breaks, this strong bullish candle could be a trap, and the market is likely to fall back into the previous range of consolidation. The resistance above is near the high on December 11. If further breakdowns occur, wait for confirmation before updating the strategy.

The short-term strategy for Ethereum is: consider short positions around $3,430, with a reference for long positions at $3,270—manage profits accordingly.

Overall, this rebound is indeed strong, but whether it can turn into a true reversal depends on whether these resistance levels can hold. The market has not yet given clear signals, so continued observation is recommended.
BTC4.24%
ETH6.06%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 6
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
MoonMathMagicvip
· 3h ago
Starting to lure with more, it's heartbreaking.
View OriginalReply0
Rugman_Walkingvip
· 3h ago
Here comes the trap again, I know this routine too well It's breaking previous highs and showing strong bullish candles, looks good, but in the end, we still have to see if 93000 can hold I feel like 96500 might be the point to cut, this rebound isn't as strong as expected Wait, the shrinking volume is interesting, it feels like a drop is coming Is 3200 a key level? Ethereum also has no clear rhythm today Every day it's about key levels, but what's key is that breaking them doesn't really matter Breaking the level is just a trap, which implies a bearish outlook Short-term trading advice is just for reference, I’ll keep averaging down and waiting for a breakout
View OriginalReply0
SandwichDetectorvip
· 3h ago
It's another move at a high level, really testing your mindset. Whether you can hold steady is the key; just looking at the candlestick patterns isn't enough. Breaking the level is often a trap to lure in buyers; I've seen this trick too many times. Diminishing volume is usually not a good sign; be cautious. If 93,000 really breaks, it would be outrageous; better to run quickly. Instead of chasing highs, it's better to wait for a pullback; patience is needed to make money. It still feels like it will continue to grind sideways; there are no short-term opportunities.
View OriginalReply0
MeltdownSurvivalistvip
· 3h ago
Breaking below and then rebounding, this pattern looks so familiar. It's a bit weak, wait a bit before taking action. Everyone is watching the resistance level, just afraid of a false breakout. Once 93000 is broken, I need to run quickly. The shrinking volume signals something's off. The key level at 98500 must be closely watched. The feeling of a trap set to lure in buyers is getting stronger. It's still quite difficult to see clearly in the short term, let's observe a bit more. If 3200 can't hold, this round is a total loss. The rebound has strength, but it feels lacking in confidence.
View OriginalReply0
GasGuruvip
· 3h ago
Once again, it hit the upper band. I’m familiar with this rhythm. --- The probability of a trap is quite high. Let’s wait until it breaks 98,500 before making a move. --- That 93,000 threshold must be watched closely. If it drops below, it could be a big problem. --- Diminishing volume makes it uncomfortable; it feels like the momentum is lacking. --- If ETH can't hold 3,200, it will be troublesome, and we’ll have to bottom out again. --- Breaking the previous high is easy; staying above it is hard. I’ve seen this routine too many times. --- Let’s see how 3,430 performs. Short positions should still be cautious. --- Hmm, continue observing. Anyway, rushing is useless. --- Is opening a short at 96,500 a bit early? Better to wait until 98,100. --- What does the Bollinger Band trumpet opening mean? Is volatility about to rise?
View OriginalReply0
FortuneTeller42vip
· 3h ago
It's the same "wait and see" approach again, I don't know when it'll happen, maybe in the Year of the Monkey or Horse. I'm not daring to take the short position at 96500, afraid of getting caught at a high level. I've seen too many plays of strong bullish breakouts; most of them are just trap setups to lure more buyers. If 3200 can't hold, just admit defeat, everyone. This rebound has some strength, but I'm worried it might be a false breakout again. The Bollinger Bands expanding outward don't really mean much; shrinking volume is the real issue. I think we still need to wait for the test of the 93000 key level to be confirmed.
View OriginalReply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)