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#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 ⚠️ Tonight's market scoop: Are all traders ready? This evening could turn your positions upside down!📊
**The main events are right here tonight**
· 9:30 PM - US November Retail Sales MoM, PPI YoY data
· 11:00 PM - US December Existing Home Sales
· 11:30 PM - US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending January 9
· 1:00 AM (late night) - EIA Monthly Energy Outlook Report
· 1:45 AM (late night) - Trump’s latest speech
· During the day - US Supreme Court ruling on tariff legality
**How key data impacts the market**
PPI is a thermometer. The market is watching whether the November PPI YoY can stay at 2.7%. Below expectations means inflation pressures are easing, which is positive for risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum — easing rate hike expectations will heat up.
EIA crude oil inventories are the trigger point. Last week’s inventory drop of 3.832 million barrels directly pushed oil prices higher. If tonight’s data shows a further decline of over 1.702 million barrels, inflation concerns will be reignited; otherwise, pressure eases. This data often fluctuates beyond expectations.
Trump’s tariff ruling and subsequent speech are black swans. The Supreme Court’s decision is inherently unpredictable; any signals that deviate from expectations could trigger uncertainty in the dollar’s direction, impacting crypto market risk appetite.
**Market logic is straightforward**
Weak data, easing inflation → Central banks may loosen policy → Liquidity easing → Risk assets benefit. Conversely, strong data will kill rate cut expectations, putting pressure on the market. Trump’s speech can more easily disrupt the rhythm — any unexpected statement from him can shake confidence in the dollar and trade policies.
**Trading advice**
Tonight is a night of high volatility, don’t be greedy. Recommendations:
1. Reduce leverage, keep a steady mindset
2. Watch BTC and ETH reactions closely — they will reflect market interpretation of the data first
3. Don’t sleep too deeply before midnight; Trump’s speech may cause a second shock
Whether it’s up or down, data and speeches will speak. What’s your strategy tonight?