Can the shift in crypto policy break the four-year cycle of Bitcoin?

【Crypto World】The US cryptocurrency policy environment is clearly improving. Recently, the US stock market has been continuously rising, and the crypto market has also become more active, closely related to the policy shift. Industry insiders point out that this policy favorable trend may be breaking the long-standing four-year cycle pattern followed by Bitcoin.

The traditional view holds that Bitcoin’s price movements are closely related to the halving cycle of mining rewards, forming a predictable four-year volatility pattern. However, if macroeconomic conditions, policy support, and other external factors undergo significant changes, this pattern could be rewritten. The current strong performance of US stocks and the advancement of crypto-friendly policies could become new variables that break the old cycle.

Market participants need to adjust their thinking—relying solely on historical cycles to judge future trends is no longer sufficient. The weight of new factors such as policy developments, macroeconomic conditions, and institutional capital flows is increasing.