#Strategy加仓BTC January 14 Cryptocurrency Market Watch: Multiple Macro Events Converge, These Signals Are the Most Critical

Today, global market events are piling up, from energy to monetary policy to economic data, each capable of changing the rhythm of the crypto market. Let’s look at the key factors that truly influence $BTC $ETH $BNB trends.

**Energy and Trade Policies: Commodities Lead the Rhythm**

OPEC oil reports and EIA energy outlooks are released consecutively, and such data directly impact commodity prices. More importantly, the developments in Trump’s tariff policies—if trade protectionism intensifies, risk assets will be sold off, crypto investors will shift to safe havens, and crypto prices will come under pressure; conversely, if policies turn dovish, market risk appetite will rebound, and cryptocurrencies, as risk assets, will see a rally.

**Federal Reserve Speeches: Dollar Strength Determines Price Movements**

Pay close attention to statements from Philadelphia Fed President Powell and Federal Reserve Board Member Mester. Their wording reveals expectations for rate hikes or cuts, directly affecting the dollar’s trend. Hawkish signals → dollar appreciation → crypto prices under pressure; dovish signals → dollar weakness → crypto market rebounds. This logic is simple and straightforward but highly effective.

**Economic Data: Real Demand Drives Confidence**

China’s 2025 import and export data will reveal the true signal of global trade activity. If the data exceeds expectations, it indicates that real economic demand isn’t as weak as feared, indirectly boosting market enthusiasm for investing in cryptocurrencies.

Overall, today focus on these three dimensions: policies, the dollar, and economic fundamentals—don’t miss any of them.