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Discipline is more important than prediction; planning is better than feelings.
Have you ever experienced this—going long and the market drops, going short and it rises, as if the market is fighting against you? Every time, you think your operations are fine, but you still get shaken out. Honestly, this is quite common.
After years of struggling in the crypto market, I realize the problem isn't really the market itself, but the trader’s decision-making logic. Most losses over the years stem from psychological out-of-control—being driven in by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), then scared out by FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt).
I want to share a seemingly "stupid" but very effective method. This isn’t some get-rich-quick secret, but a core rule to help you survive and keep your funds growing.
**First, learn to exercise restraint**
Where do beginners most easily stumble? Emotional trading. Buying at the high due to FOMO, panic selling at the low. The result? Always chasing highs and killing lows.
My approach is quite straightforward: divide your principal into 5 parts, and only move one part at a time. Also, always set a stop-loss—I use 10 points. What’s the benefit of this? Losing only 2% of your total capital on a single mistake; even five consecutive mistakes only lose 10%. As long as you get the direction right once, and set take-profit at more than 10 points, the overall risk-reward ratio flips.
Bitcoin can drop 20% in a day without being surprising; the crypto market is this fierce. Without proper position management, no matter how much money you have, it can be swallowed up.
**Second, "trend following" is the key**
To improve your win rate, the most direct method is two words: follow the trend.
Every rebound in a downtrend tempts short sellers to jump in; every correction in an uptrend is an opportunity to go long. Doing the opposite is essentially betting against the probability.