In the flow of money $RIVER: how to distinguish a real trend from market manipulations

The cryptocurrency market is full of noise, but periodically signals emerge that require careful analysis. Currently, $RIVER is in the spotlight, and understanding the flow of money behind this asset is critically important. The token is trading around the $45 price zone, which coincides with the maximum pressure from speculative positions.

Strategic Moves by Major Players and the Risk of Liquidations

Data derived from position analysis shows a significant accumulation of short positions. To understand the scale, consider that the current leverage of 80x exceeds spot trading volumes. This means the market is saturated with high-risk positions, and any substantial price movement could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations. Such a situation typically attracts the attention of large capital players who may manipulate quotes in their favor.

In simple terms, the money invested in these leveraged positions is at risk. The support level at $45.10 acts as the last critical line where price stabilization might occur.

Development Scenarios: From Breakout to Drop

If the market can hold the current support level, a recovery towards $60 can be expected. This will allow early participants to lock in profits during the initial recovery phase.

The reverse scenario — a support break — will lead to a rapid decline to $35. In this case, a wave of long position liquidations will accelerate the fall even further.

Practical Capital Management Plan

For traders considering entering a position, the following approach to capital allocation is recommended:

Entry Levels: The optimal entry zone is between $38.50 and $42.00. This strategy allows waiting for a short-term correction before the main move.

Target Profit Levels: $54.00 (short-term target), $62.00 (intermediate), $69.00 (long-term).

Capital Protection: The stop-loss level is set at $34.50, which helps limit losses in case of an unexpected support break.

The main rule when working with such assets is to avoid over-leverage and carefully monitor the amount of capital used. The high volatility of $RIVER requires a disciplined approach to money management.