#美伊局势影响 The Iran-U.S. situation has recently escalated sharply due to joint military strikes by the U.S. and Israel, entering a state of war. This conflict has not only caused significant casualties but also had a severe impact on global markets through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy choke point worldwide.

⚔️ Core of the Situation: The Strait of Hormuz Becomes the Focal Point of the Power Struggle

After suffering strikes, Iran has adopted a "asymmetric retaliation" strategy, with the key action being the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This strait handles about 20% of global oil consumption transportation. If shipping is halted, it will directly cut off the Middle East's oil export channels, triggering a global energy supply panic.

📉 Market Impact: Safe-Haven Sentiment and Surge in Oil Prices

Oil prices soared: Due to concerns over supply disruptions, international oil prices (WTI) once approached $78 per barrel. If the strait remains closed, oil prices could break through $100, potentially triggering the "largest oil crisis in years."

Safe-haven demand heats up: Global stock markets (including A-shares) have adjusted due to decreased risk appetite, with funds flowing into safe assets like gold and military industry stocks. Technology stocks, sensitive to interest rates, are under pressure due to rising inflation expectations.

💡 Investment Strategy: Focus on "Safety" and "Price Increase" Logic

Under the current situation, market funds are mainly allocated along two main lines:

Energy Security: Oil and gas extraction, shipping (rising freight rates), and chemical products benefiting from Middle Eastern capacity disruptions (such as methanol, urea).

Defense and Military Industry: Geopolitical conflicts directly catalyze the military sector, becoming an important direction for risk-averse capital.

Risk Reminder: The situation is highly volatile. If the navigation through the Strait of Hormuz resumes or the conflict cools down, related sectors may experience rapid corrections. Close attention should be paid to diplomatic developments.