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Will the bull market continue? Bitcoin's technical analysis indicates a bearish signal
Bitcoin’s current trend has sparked market concerns about the sustainability of the bull run. According to on-chain analysis, BTC is currently priced at $70,290, down 1.27% over the past 24 hours. After rebounding from a recent low, the market faces new uncertainties. Several market analysts point out that Bitcoin is testing a key technical pattern, which could determine the next phase of market direction.
Technical Outlook Shows Difficulty in Breaking Through the Bullish Resistance
Market analyst Roman notes that Bitcoin is exhibiting a clear bear flag pattern, a candlestick formation that typically indicates potential further decline. Based on this technical analysis, BTC’s target downside could reach $76,000, with a risk of dropping to $50,000. Since rebounding from a low of around $80,000, Bitcoin has been oscillating within an upward channel but has yet to effectively break through a critical resistance level above, indicating a lack of strong upward momentum in the current market.
Technical indicators also signal weakness. Multiple tools, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are showing bearish signals on longer timeframes. Taken together, these signs suggest that the current bull market may be entering a decline phase. Roman advises investors to prepare psychologically for the next bull cycle.
Short-term Rebound Potential vs. Long-term Risks
However, not all voices are entirely bearish. Trader Luca believes that Bitcoin still has the potential for a short-term rebound. He points out that BTC is still above the support zone of the bull trend, and if it can hold this support and rebound, the medium-term outlook could shift back to bullish.
These two perspectives reflect the current market split: one emphasizing the long-term downside risk indicated by the bear flag pattern, suggesting the bull market may have peaked; the other focusing on the support level in the short term, maintaining hope for a rebound. For investors, understanding the technical significance behind this market divergence is crucial for effective risk management.