CITIC Securities: Middle East Situation Has Far-Reaching Impact, China Faces Strategic Opportunities

MetaMuskRat · 2026-03-15T11:20:20+00:00

US-Iran conflict has caused sharp fluctuations in crude oil prices, while China's crude oil import diversification may mitigate the impact. If the conflict persists long-term, it will affect oil prices, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy, while creating strategic opportunities for China. Pay attention to related industry and thematic investments.

MetaMuskRat

2026-03-15 11:20:20

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China Securities Journal, March 15 — CITIC Construction Investment Research reports that the conflict between the U.S. and Iran has entered a stalemate phase, causing sharp fluctuations in crude oil prices. China’s diversification of crude oil imports, energy structure transformation, and strategic petroleum reserves will also play a buffering role. However, under global risk appetite disturbances and domestic market liquidity constraints, A-shares may remain volatile in the short term. If the U.S.-Iran conflict becomes prolonged, it could lead to three main impacts: 1) rising oil price center, increased global inflation, and disruption of the Federal Reserve’s rate cut pace; 2) loosening of the petrodollar system, with China expected to become a global safe haven for capital, benefiting RMB assets; 3) potential to create strategic opportunities for China, leveraging a dual-energy foundation of “coal + new energy” to not only ensure energy security but also lead global energy transition. Industry focus areas: coal, coal chemicals, power equipment, utilities, oil and petrochemicals, AI industry chain, etc. Key themes: lithium batteries, nuclear power, energy storage, wind power, etc.

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