[Red Envelope] 3.15: Weekly Reflection!

Here’s a brief weekend review:

Next week, focus on tracking the repair of losses in the power and computing sectors. Reassess the short-term cycle attributes accordingly and prepare contingency plans. Also, pay attention to the low-position rotation opportunities in energy storage.

The power sector, represented by Yunnan Energy and Han Cable, shows significant loss effects in both single and multiple waves, with overall loss effects still relatively high. If these cannot be effectively repaired, the stocks within the sector that have previously led the rebound will likely weaken in sustainability. Be alert to the risk of sentiment spreading.

Over the weekend, the computing sector received major positive news, such as Tencent’s nationwide free installation of “Little Lobster.” The sector has adjusted to a weak support level, with a strong expectation of recovery the next day. Domestic computing demand remains a key growth driver this year, supporting the medium-term logic of the sector. The previous surge in billion-dollar market cap stocks also confirms industry prosperity. In terms of operation, prepare two plans: ideally, a strong rebound with a V-shaped recovery, greatly increasing the probability of a main upward trend; if weakness persists, it’s likely to induce a false breakout to shake out weak hands, delaying the main upward move to the next cycle. Strictly control the pace.

Energy storage, as a low-position branch, has value for a rebound. Tomorrow, capacity stocks like Deyun and Chuangxian can be watched for another day. If the 5-day moving average breaks down and the performance is below expectations, exit promptly.

Overall, the power sector’s recovery influences short-term sentiment, while the computing sector determines the strength of the main trend. Energy storage is a low-position alternative. The market is still rotating, so only focus on confirmed trading opportunities. Avoid participating in rotation arbitrage if possible. Next week, there will be a turning point in sentiment; we’ll see then.

Reviewed the delivery orders over the weekend and found too many arbitrage and casual trades. Since March, only four stocks—Huasheng Tiancheng, China Western Electric, Yunnan Energy Holdings, and GCL New Energy—have had clear buy points for me. I managed to buy all four, but profits were wiped out by other miscellaneous losses. Small gains and small losses, but it affects the rhythm. Following the pre-market ideas and learning from brothers, I believe everyone’s judgment has improved. These stocks can be selected, but controlling the hands is another matter. Next week, I will continue to find the rhythm. Specific operations will be shared before the market opens tomorrow.

Best wishes.