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Chuangshi Futures: Wa State Advances Full-Scale Resumption of Production, Tin Prices Continue to Adjust
Although tin prices once rose above 450,000 yuan, they have experienced a continuous decline as Waboan promotes full production resumption. Today, tin prices plummeted over 11%, falling below 400,000 yuan and giving back most of the post-holiday gains. Yesterday, Waboan officials announced their involvement in the water pumping process at the mines, which will accelerate the resumption of mining operations. By November-December 2025, Myanmar’s tin concentrate exports to China have recovered to about 1,300 tons per month. As the water pumping process progresses and more mines resume operations, the output is expected to increase further from March. The short-term increase in supply has interrupted the rise in tin prices. However, as prices return near 400,000 yuan, it may stimulate demand to decline. We remain optimistic about the market outlook, and traders holding long positions below 400,000 yuan may consider re-entering. (First Capital Futures)