Draw a new blueprint for the industry. The Middle East situation has new variables.

Conditional trouble today, I want to push the heat to the max. It’s been limited for a long time, but today for the first time, there’s no flow restriction. I want to reclaim the top spot on the hot list. Brothers, support me up. [Taogu Ba]

This is also the first update after a half-month break from the daily (hardcore logic) review. I hope you won’t let me break my streak again. All I want is popularity. As long as you give me good support, I will continue to share openly and for free. I really want to share for free to help you grow. These past two weeks, I’ve benefited a lot and received many thanks. But if the heat and traffic disappear and everyone goes silent, I can only work to generate my own traffic. The logical articles have been paused for half a month. Without my directional analysis, you can judge how well you’re doing. Think for yourselves, weigh the pros and cons.

Preface:

1. Risk Warning:
The entire prairie structure and emotional structure are in a typical oscillation period. During oscillation, don’t overthink. For ultra-short funds, either you can jump back and forth between strong stocks decisively, or wait until the oscillation ends to focus on main rising sectors or stocks.
Be cautious of some trend stocks at high levels recently. If they can’t move further, prevent a fall-back. Some high-level trend stocks have already seen funds start to race ahead. Don’t overthink stocks that are weakening and haven’t been taken over; the more you think, the deeper the trap. Ultra-short trading requires discipline. Don’t expect trend main rises while applying mid-to-long-term strategies. The so-called trend main rise is when a stock or sector’s trend accelerates violently after forming a trend—driven purely by emotion, with rapid ascent and quick decline once the wind stops.

2. Market Sentiment:
Chaos Receding
Currently, the market isn’t lacking funds; volume is abundant. What’s missing is trend-following capital—only some ignition funds without offensive power. So, before capacity recognition leads to sustained trends, don’t get overly excited.
Although chaos is receding, don’t be pessimistic. From both the prairie and emotional structures, sustained decline is unlikely. Most likely, it’s sector rotation, which tests rhythm more.

The best response to the current market structure is either (at intraday lows) focusing on the strongest, unexpectedly powerful stocks or not watching at all. Don’t overthink intraday follow-ups.
Three strategies for current market response:
(1): Quickly identify the leading sectors in the morning and decide whether to follow (even if successful, don’t overthink; if the sector doesn’t rise, it’s just short-term arbitrage).
(2): Identify trend lines or support levels of stocks with good recognition and wait for rotation or abnormal moves.
(3): Observe and wait for capacity recognition to show persistence, then focus on sectors with sustained momentum.

3. Technical Analysis:
No need to worry about the prairie; it’s a range oscillation structure. Systematic risk is minimal, mainly hovering near the lower boundary of the oscillation range. First support is around 4055, second support around 4000.

The mid-term expectation is for oscillating upward movement. No main rise opportunity in the prairie, but thematic stocks may have hot main rises once external disturbances settle.
In the short term, external uncertainties cause oscillation. As external impacts diminish, the oscillation may end at any time.
The prairie (mid-term) structure doesn’t need subjective positioning; external factors are uncontrollable. Structurally, upward space is open, just waiting for uncertainties to clear. Once past the key nodes, there’s little to worry about. The prairie’s structure is healthy—walk and watch, stay objective.

4. Summary:
Light prairie, heavy individual stocks. No need to worry about prairie fluctuations; prefer to act on strength.
Wait for the key nodes to end. If capacity recognition shows persistence, actively focus on those sectors.
If the market fears bad news, respect the market. Be prepared with both hands. Until external negative factors are resolved, don’t overly bullish on the prairie. Focus on thematic stocks, strong stocks, and potential main rise opportunities. Currently, the market is in a phase of thematic consensus formation. The emotional direction is unlikely to end easily. As long as trend stocks stay above the upward trend line (5-day moving average), don’t short.

II. Sector Review:

1. Electric Power Industry Chain:
   1st Tier:
   China Power Construction, Tongyu Heavy Industry, Kangda New Materials, Qifan Cables, Tianshun Wind Power, Xihua Technology, Jixin Technology, Megachip Color, Sunrise Oriental
   China Nuclear Construction, Jiangsu Shentong, Shaogang Hongxing, Southern Road Machinery, Lansi Heavy Equipment

3rd Tier:
HuaDian Energy

5th Tier:
Zhongnan Culture

Brief Analysis:
Over the weekend, an article promoting high-quality development of marine economy was published in the “Qiushi” magazine, which is a positive signal for the wind power sub-sector.
The most sustained sector in the past week has been the proliferation sector, which showed some persistence five days ago. Now, the sector has entered the latter half of a “fish tail” phase, with stocks rotating and leading faster. Don’t overthink holding stocks within the sector; focus on intraday support. Strong support means continuation; weak support means don’t overthink. During the fish tail phase, avoid logic-based discussions; focus on support. Once the sector recedes, even logical stocks will be sold off.
Most stocks in the sector have already risen significantly. Signs of sector retreat appeared on Friday. If Monday or Tuesday can’t recover strongly, the sector will likely just drift downward, ending the main upward phase, with only individual stocks’ groupings temporarily supporting the sector’s retreat.
Nuclear power is also part of the electric power industry chain, driven by global power shortages requiring capacity expansion. The entire industry chain is expanding, which is a global consensus, including space photovoltaics as a sub-branch.

2. Middle East Conflict and Oil Price Surge Benefiting Sector:
   1st Tier:
   Chitianhua, Jiangsu Sopo, Zanyu Technology, Antai Group, Xinghua Shares, Hongbaoli, Jinzhen Dadi

2nd Tier:
Luhua Technology

3rd Tier:
Jinniu Chemical

Brief Analysis:
Honestly, there’s concern about losing control. The “big dog” is not an ordinary person. Over the weekend, he threatened to strike Persian Gulf oil ports. If he really attacks, Persia might drag the whole world into it, since the ports provide about half of Persia’s income. If the ports are seized, Persia will have no worries, and he might just lie down and play. Currently, he dares to blockade straits even in a semi-laying state. If the oil ports are lost, the Strait could be completely blocked, potentially pushing oil prices above $150, which would be catastrophic for the global economy.
He also said whether to attack depends on his mood; even if he does, it’s just for fun. It’s incredible—he can say anything. The world is a huge circus. Such serious matters that could severely impact their own economy are joked about casually.
Let’s take a wait-and-see approach. If conflicts don’t ease, high oil prices above $100 could persist, leaving room for the oil and gas sector to rise further. Without external intervention, it’s unlikely they’ll resolve this peacefully. Both sides are pushing their limits, and unless one side can’t hold on domestically, they won’t back down easily. This endless probing might lead to reckless action.
It depends on how long they can sustain high oil prices.
Again, sector hype depends entirely on news catalysts. If you’re trading, be prepared. If “big dog” takes over the ports, enjoy the acceleration. If not, and tensions ease, accept the loss. Don’t bet beyond your capacity.

Persian Gulf also offered a positive signal: crude oil settled in RMB will prioritize passing through the Strait of Hormuz. This is a strategic move, likely to stimulate cross-border payments, but the effect may be limited and not sustained. Because the petrodollar underpins US dollar dominance and US military hegemony, destroying the oil dollar settlement system would be akin to a national destruction war. Once that happens, even knowing it’s a quagmire, the US might plunge in headfirst, pushing the situation to the limit. Persia’s proposal might be a gesture of goodwill or a way to muddy waters and gain negotiation leverage.

Among major global powers, only those still focused on development are truly wise. In turbulent times, focus on building strength. Brothers, the future is promising. Don’t let small fluctuations disturb your mindset. Now is the perfect time to learn technical skills. When the real market rally arrives, you’ll be able to seize it. If you can profit from current conditions, how will you fail when the big wave hits? Our financial market will have great opportunities because our rise is inevitable. To grow the market, we need to attract more foreign capital, but the current size can’t accommodate much foreign inflow.
Here’s some data for you:
US economy: about $30 trillion
China economy: about $19.5 trillion
US stock market total market cap: about $69 trillion
A-shares total market cap: about $15.5 trillion

Can you see the mismatch?
From a professional perspective, direct comparison isn’t meaningful because the US does global business with high-value, often monopolistic sectors. We are at a lower and middle level. But as China’s strength grows, many fields and technologies we can’t access now will gradually become available, just like recent visits from Western leaders and Persia’s talk of RMB settlement for crude oil passing through straits.
Many things seem impossible now, but as our strength solidifies, the impossible will become possible. Just like when the US initially imposed 140% tariffs on us and later sought negotiations to lower them—this is a systemic analysis. It’s hard to explain fully in a few words. Just remember, everything will gradually become possible. Study technical skills diligently now. When the big market arrives, you’ll be able to handle it. If I get the chance, I’ll do detailed analysis or live sessions.

The best approach is: outside of Middle East benefit sectors, prioritize other opportunities. When news triggers other sectors, don’t gamble on uncertain possibilities.

III. Core Stock Comments:
1. China Power Construction:
Replacing China Energy Construction as the new capacity recognition leader in the power sector. The sector has started to weaken gradually. Honestly, I’m not very optimistic about holding stocks here; expectations are low. From the first wave of capacity recognition—China Western Electric—to China Energy Construction taking over as the second, now China Power Construction is the third. The trend’s height is decreasing step by step, mainly due to poor market sentiment.
Don’t have high expectations for individual stocks; their performance depends on market sentiment and support. Despite large orders worth hundreds of billions announced, don’t overthink. Look at the overall market sentiment, be less subjective. When market sentiment isn’t supportive, even good news can’t lift stocks high.

3. Aerospace Development:
Based on K-line and intraday charts, the main controlling funds still haven’t withdrawn. There’s hope for an upward move, but the market is too weak. Every attempt ends in failure. The fundamental reason is the mismatch between the market and the sector. It’s a stock worth tracking, not subjective. It’s a main-controlled stock; without the main controller’s support, it would have broken support long ago. Most of the commercial aerospace sector is in decline, with only this stock maintaining a decent pattern thanks to the main controller’s efforts.
The main controller’s persistence means both success and failure are possible. Don’t be subjective. The main controller has experienced despair before—Yu Ge, a top trader, sold over 200 million yuan of Ganjing photovoltaic stocks in despair in 2023.
So, keep tracking. If it breaks out, follow the trend.

3. Jinkai New Energy:
Lacks recognition now. I’ll explain based on Thursday and Friday’s momentum—see if it makes sense.
Momentum can be positive or negative.
On Thursday afternoon, Jinkai New Energy opened with large orders guiding continuous upward movement, leading to Guxin Nengke’s rebound. After hitting the daily limit, the entire sector and market followed suit, which is undeniable. If you can’t see this, it shows your understanding of short-term tactics is shallow. You still have a lot to learn.
If this kind of momentum isn’t confirmed the next day (Friday), it indicates weak market sentiment. The underperformance and decline on Friday reflect this. If you understand this, you’ll see why Friday’s market was so poor.
Friday’s poor performance was due to Thursday’s strong momentum, but Friday lacked any premium. All sensitive funds will think: if Jinkai New Energy was so strong on Thursday, but no continuation or premium, then what’s the expectation for today? No more waiting—just run.
Some might say, “But Guxin Nengke performed better on Friday.” Not necessarily. A stock can have momentum but still perform well. It depends on the overall trend and the main force’s intentions. They can guide stocks independently, group together, or even cause a sharp drop on Monday. Don’t let your understanding be one-sided. You’re looking for high-probability trend opportunities, not gambling on tiny chances of doubling among thousands of stocks.
That’s all for now. This is detailed analysis—few bloggers will break down like this for free. If I do, it might encroach on others’ territory. Such detailed tactical analysis is rare. If you still need this level of explanation, you need to learn more. This is basic tactical knowledge. I usually don’t pay much attention to these tactical interpretations.

IV. Opportunity Tips:
Observe trend stocks in each sector along the five-day moving average for support and upward opportunities.

Thanks to Gold Fan for ranking first with 25,000 points: @Starry8@EvilOctopus

Second place: @MakingMoneyToRaisePigs@junekool@SukiYing@Sccpx

Third place: @XiaomiSeat@NirvanaRisingW@

Thanks to every brother and sister contributing heat:
@Starry8@EvilOctopus@MakingMoneyToRaisePigs@junekool@SukiYing@Sccpx@XiaomiSeat@NirvanaRisingW@JinsongJinsong@StockWhySoRed@OrangeLittleGod@RKLiLi@HotHandPipiBear@GreenChivesTurnRedChives@LittleHandFlip@RuoshengSY@Chengtiao@Haha7777777777@NewEraTrader@EatNoLine@WeYue@OrangeZz@ZO46@BESTNIU@IAmARabbit@MumuFollower@QingJiangShui233@MoQianYuYin@DaACopyMyHome@VegetableChickenEarnTuition@ZaiZaiZai@OneLittleBird@ColdWindBlow@ChengduTrader2024@BanishedAntelope@BigBearWithoutGlasses@YunQi666@MinzhongTrader@FutureLong666@szduncan@llkkll@SmileBig@ManchuMr.Shu@Lazy7@HappyHZ@NotFishButFish@鼓TheDrum@BrotherYao888@EarthquakeMelancholy@LittleCabbageQaq@DarknessWithinMe@HuangGuibin@AskMo@JinsongXiaoPainter@AcyA Yun@KLineRanger@SummerCabbage@YNoLongerHesitate@ZNewborn

Thanks to the brothers and sisters with fuel coupons:

V. Target Focus:
Solemnly declare, the following are simulated positions only, not investment advice. If you can’t synchronize, you can unfollow the next day when you see this. Blindly chasing high the next day may make you a bag-holder.

1. China Power Construction: Focus near opening price.

2. Jinkai New Energy: Unfollow.

3. Southern Grid Energy: Unfollow.

4. ZaiSheng Technology: Unfollow.