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03.15 Review: How the money was lost.
Declaration: The following are personal thoughts, not investment advice [Taogu Ba]
Limit-up situations
Two consecutive limit-ups
Promotion from 2nd to 3rd limit-up
Promotion from 3rd to 4th limit-up
Promotion from 4th to 5th limit-up
Limit-up being smashed
Top twenty declines
Yesterday’s limit-up on the Growth Enterprise Market
Today’s limit-up on the Growth Enterprise Market
Market situation
Brief review.
This week’s rotation was too fast,
Let’s see how the money disappeared.
Monday: Oil opened high and then declined.
Index
Over the weekend, US and Iran continued their conflicts, oil prices surged, while Japan, Korea, and other indices fell sharply; after a decline, the indices rebounded.
High-level sentiment
Shun Na Co.: Continuous limit-up, driving power back into the electric sector.
Han Lan Co.: Peaked then pulled back.
Wangli Security: One-word limit.
Meili Yun: Lobster concept hot, opened average but fermented throughout the day, hitting limit-up in the afternoon.
Oil sector
Due to the surge in external oil prices, Shandong Molong and other one-word limit stocks, Tongyuan Oil opened high and then declined; Shandong Molong and others hit the limit. Jinniu Chemical was smashed.
Electricity collaboration
Fermentation over the weekend, with top stocks like Jinkai New Energy and GCL New Energy hitting T-boards; Shun Na Co. hit a second limit-up. Guodian Nanzi, Sanbian Technology, and others helped with the first limit-up.
Small lobsters
The weekend’s hot lobster concept, with not much trading volume; only Ningbo Construction hit a one-word limit, Youke De reached a 20cm limit-up, but as fermentation continued during the day, Meili Yun hit the limit in the afternoon, with Ningbo Construction, Qingyun Technology, Shunwang Technology, Hongbo Co., and others assisting. Toward the close, Tuowei Information hit a second limit-up, reaching a high emotional point.
Tuesday: Index strengthened, high-level divergence
Index
Opened low, then rose, with short-term sentiment diverging.
High-level sentiment:
Shun Na Co.: Limit-up smashed.
Meili Yun: Weak to strong, then smashed.
Jinniu Chemical: Rebounded after being hammered.
Oil-related:
Due to falling oil prices, the overall sector faced a “nuclear button,” but rotation still caused some stocks to rise during the day.
Electricity collaboration:
Shun Na Co. was smashed after hitting the limit, leading to market divergence. Jinkai New Energy and GCL New Energy opened high and weakened. China Energy Construction’s limit-up was smashed.
Small lobsters:
The weekend’s fermentation and hype were smashed again; Youke De fluctuated at high levels, Meili Yun accelerated to the limit, and others like Ningbo Construction, Qingyun Technology, Shunwang Technology, Hongbo Co. helped. Toward the close, Tuowei Information hit a second limit-up, reaching a high emotional point.
Optical fiber:
Quantitative rotation shifted to AI hardware, with Changfei Optical Fiber and Guangxun Technology hitting the limit in the afternoon, and heavyweight stocks like Tianfutongxin and Xin Yisheng surged.
Although the index rose sharply, high-level divergence was significant, with funds focusing on low-level first limit-ups or rotating themes. The challenge of relay is still high.
Wednesday: Sharp rise then weak correction.
Index
Oscillated at high levels.
High-level stocks
Shun Na Co.: Limit-up smashed after a surge.
Ningbo Construction: Divergence followed by a limit-up on turnover, but with weak momentum.
Jinniu Chemical: Opened low then surged to the limit.
Chemical:
Due to escalating external conflicts, chemical price increase logic deepened; Baichuan Co. opened high and accelerated to the top, with afternoon support from Jinniu Chemical and others, causing a small sector explosion.
Electricity collaboration:
Shun Na Co. was smashed after hitting the limit, market divergence appeared. China Energy Construction rebounded after being smashed. GCL New Energy also rebounded but was smashed.
Small lobsters:
Continued divergence, Ningbo Construction rose again, Meili Yun opened high but then declined. The momentum was not strong.
Thursday: Continued rotation
Index
Deep V-shape correction.
High-level sentiment
Shun Na Co.: Afternoon limit-up smashed.
GCL New Energy: Opened high and rebounded.
Ningbo Construction: Rose at the end of the day then declined.
Chemical:
After the peak, divergence intensified; Baichuan Co. continued to top out but was smashed at the close, while Jinniu Chemical was supported.
Electricity collaboration:
Sector rebounded, with low-level Huadian Energy and Green Power accelerating, especially wind power stocks. GCL New Energy rebounded at high levels, Jinkai New Energy hit the limit, and China Energy Construction rose in the afternoon. Toward the close, Shun Na Co. and Yunnan Energy Holdings surged.
Small lobsters:
Despite continuous positive news, no significant movement occurred; Ningbo Construction declined after a high, Meili Yun attempted recovery.
Friday: Both index and sentiment were crushed
Index: Fell sharply at the close.
High-level stocks
Shun Na Co.: Sector divergence was severe, opened low and was hammered to the limit-down.
Ningbo Construction: Opened low and declined further.
Jinniu Chemical: Rapid turnover in the morning, surged to the limit, supporting Baichuan Co.; then reversed and closed down.
Electricity collaboration: Divergence within the sector, with Green Power hammered, Huadian Energy hit four limit-ups in a row, China Power Construction and China Nuclear Construction rose, Dajin Heavy Industry hit two limit-ups, wind power sector was stronger; but high-level stocks like Yunnan Energy Holdings and Shun Na Co. fell to the limit, GCL New Energy oscillated at high levels.
Chemical:
Low-level stocks like Jinda Zheng surged early, Hongbaoli also rose, supporting Jinniu Chemical’s three-limit-up streak. But Baichuan Co. opened high and declined, sector was also internally competitive.
Computing power:
Also diverged, Ningbo Construction plummeted, Meili Yun declined to the limit.
This week was very challenging; if the rhythm is missed, it’s easy to lose money, and even a slight misjudgment can be hammered by quant funds.
II. About tomorrow
Index and short-term sentiment both face downward pressure.
If tomorrow’s decline continues, it might be a double dip; some recovery could occur, especially watching how the energy sector responds, focusing on new lows.
If China Huadian Energy can hold and push higher, watch related sectors; if it gets hammered again and can’t break resistance, be cautious. The feedback from GCL New Energy is also important; those without holdings can view it as a sentiment indicator.
Previously mentioned that oil de-sensitization might lead to chemical sector recovery; but the rhythm is hard to grasp, and I didn’t catch it myself.
This period’s relay is quite difficult; fermentation often results in profit-taking the next day. Stay patient and don’t be pessimistic, wait for new highs.
III. Trading strategy,
Yunnan Energy Holdings was weak and should have been sold; holding on emotionally led to a loss day; tomorrow will see if there’s a chance to push higher.
GCL New Energy has exited.
Best wishes
Recap is not easy; a few likes or shares are the biggest support for me.
Investing is a lonely journey. You must withstand prosperity and endure loneliness.