My personal workings on Bitcoin price movements based on Fibonacci, Elliott Wave targets and Global M2 supply:

1/ The "Cool Down" Phase (Now – April 2026)
The market is exhausted after last year's big gains. Prices are bouncing around, trying to decide if they want to go higher or lower.
Key Price: Watch $74,000. If it stays below this, the "cool down" continues.
Goal: Finding a floor where buyers feel safe jumping back in.
2/ The "Finding the Bottom" Phase (May – July 2026)
This is historically when the biggest "sale" happens. Expect a final dip to clear out the remaining sellers.
Price Targets: You might see prices drop toward $61,000 or even as low as $53,000.
Sentiment: This usually feels like a "mini-winter," with headlines turning negative before the next big move.
3/ The "Recovery" Phase (August – December 2026)
If the summer floor holds, the market typically begins a slow, steady climb back up.
Price Targets: The goal is to reclaim the $100,000 milestone. If the momentum is strong, it may push toward $130,000+ by very late in the year or early 2027.
(Non-financial advice)