2026-03-23 08:51:14

🛢️🙂🇮🇷 The capture of Kharg Island will not save Trump, - Bloomberg.

🔎 The idea of capturing Kharg Island seems key, because it is through it that about 90% of crude oil exports pass. But even in the event of its loss, Iran will be able to partially maintain exports through other terminals, in particular Jask (beyond the Strait of Hormuz), Laban, Sirri and Qeshm.
In addition, other oil and gas fraction export hubs are operating - Asaluyeh, Bandar-Mahshehr and Abadan. This is not a full-fledged replacement for Kharg, but sufficient infrastructure to maintain minimal flows.
❗️This means that a quick and complete cessation of exports is unlikely. In addition, the experience of previous sanction periods shows that Iran is able to withstand a long-term decline in oil revenues without the collapse of the political regime, which further reduces the likelihood of a quick "breakdown" of the situation.

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