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The misunderstood crisis: high oil prices are not "poison," but a key partner in the express industry's efforts to consolidate and strengthen its "anti-involution" achievements
Recently, soaring energy costs have rapidly propagated through the supply chain, causing market concerns that rising fuel prices will break the industry’s already thin profit margins. Under this pessimistic outlook, the Wind Express Index hit a new low for the year this week, with trading valuations significantly below the median of the past five years.
From a straightforward perspective, the sharp increase in transportation costs directly squeezes the survival space of courier companies and outlets. However, panic often stems from a linear extrapolation of short-term shocks, ignoring the industry’s underlying cost structure, hedging mechanisms, and deeper competitive evolution.
A more in-depth analysis reveals that high oil prices are not simply “poison” for the courier industry; in certain competitive environments, they may even serve as catalysts for industry collaboration and profit improvement.