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Zhongjin Wealth Futures: Styrene Short-Term Swayed by Geopolitical News
The US-Israel-Iran conflict has become deadlocked, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed and TACO expectations repeatedly reversing. From a fundamental perspective of styrene itself: in March, plant restart and maintenance occurred simultaneously. Due to the relatively good profit margins in the styrene industry, it is less affected by raw material issues within the supply chain. However, as refineries are forced to reduce their output gradually, the loss of pure benzene and ethylene supplies has increased, and soaring costs have continuously squeezed styrene profits. Although the operating rates of the three major S plants are gradually returning to normal levels, downstream buyers remain reluctant to purchase at high prices, mainly replenishing inventory for immediate needs. Currently, tight flow of goods in Northeast Asia and the shipment schedules of Chinese styrene exports have somewhat tightened the domestic supply and demand balance. In the short term, influenced by geopolitical news, styrene prices fluctuate significantly along with crude oil. We believe that the impact of the Hormuz blockade outweighs the numerous statements by Trump. (CICC Wealth Futures)