The probability of "US Department of Homeland Security shutdown ends after March 31" on Polymarket is currently reported at 54%, down 26% in the past hour.

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-03-25T02:45:33+00:00

The U.S. Senate has approved Marin as Secretary of Homeland Security. Related event probability data shows a notable shift in expectations that the Department of Homeland Security may shut down by the end of March. Marin expressed support for Trump's immigration policies and called for swift passage of the budget to "restart" the Department of Homeland Security. The department is currently at a standstill due to funding issues.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-03-25 02:45:33

Abstract generation in progress

Odaily Seer Insight Channel monitoring shows that the U.S. Senate has voted to approve Senator Marlin as Secretary of Homeland Security. The probability of the event “U.S. Department of Homeland Security closing by March 31” on Polymarket has dropped to 54%, down 26% in the past hour, with nearly $1 million in trading volume.

Additionally, the probability of the event “U.S. Department of Homeland Security closing between March 28 and 31” has temporarily surged, currently at 24%, up 13% in the past hour. The probability of the event “U.S. Department of Homeland Security closing between March 24 and 27” is currently at 13%, up 3% in the past hour.

At last week’s nomination hearing, Marlin expressed support for the Trump administration’s immigration policies. He also called on Democrats to quickly pass the budget bill for the Department of Homeland Security to “reboot” the agency. During the hearing, Marlin said, “As Secretary of Homeland Security, I will protect everyone. My goal over the past six months has been to prevent the Department of Homeland Security from making headlines every day.” Since last year, the Department of Homeland Security has frequently made news headlines over issues like cracking down on illegal immigration. Democrats are demanding reforms to the Department of Homeland Security and federal law enforcement actions, or they will threaten not to support the budget bill. The Department of Homeland Security has been shut down since February 14 due to funding exhaustion.

Odaily Seer Insight Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they happen.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.