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March 25 Pre-Market Core Strategy
**1 Market Trend Analysis [Taogu Ba]
**
1.1 Today’s Market Characteristics
(1) The market is in a trend-changing day, with the index closing with a bullish head-and-shoulders pattern, showing a rebound trend.
(2) Over 5,000 stocks are rising across the market, indicating a temporary improvement in market sentiment.
1.2 Next Day Index Forecast
(1) Expected Direction of the Index
① The index is expected to continue its inertia upward, targeting the 3958 point resistance level.
② The effective support level is at 3829 points; breaking below this will reduce the likelihood of a bullish close.
(2) Volume Analysis Standards
① Volume Increase Standard: Before 10 a.m., a red session with trading volume exceeding 100 billion, ideally over 200 billion.
② Volume Decrease Risks: Shrinking volume during recovery may trigger a pullback; combined with support level breaks, the market may show divergence and retest.
1.3 Cycle and Risk Positioning
(1) The daily adjustment cycle is nearing its end, but the short-term bottoming phase has not yet concluded.
(2) No systemic long-term risk; short-term uncertainties exist, awaiting clear signals of strength.
2 Overall Trading Strategy
**
2.1 Core Operation Ideas
(1) Market Positioning
① When market turnover is below 25 trillion, it presents a “fan” pattern, suitable for contrarian trading strategies.
② During the bottoming phase, focus on arbitrage thinking, quick in and out, and realize gains the next day.
(2) Stock Selection Logic
① Prioritize stocks with unexpected first-board breakthroughs, meeting three conditions: resonance with the index, active strength, and high recognition among investors.
② In a shrinking volume environment, focus on highly recognizable stocks and new trend-high targets, downplaying sector effects.
③ During index rallies, pay attention to large and medium-cap blue-chip stocks with high recognition.
2.2 Sector and Stock Operation Rules
(1) Sector Effects
① Most first-board targets on the rebound’s first day; the next day, remove the weaker stocks and keep the stronger ones, then judge sector sustainability.
② Core stocks within sectors that experience a correction will increase the randomness and divergence of the sector.
(2) Relay Rules
① When the market adjusts on the same day, look for opportunities for unexpected first-board rebounds the next day.
② When the market surges strongly on the same day, avoid relay trading the next day.
3 Conditions for Sector Continuity
**
3.1 Computing Power Sector
(1) Shao Neng Co.: Achieves 2 consecutive limit-ups within 20 minutes to upgrade to the second board.
(2) Aorui De: Achieves 2 consecutive limit-ups within 20 minutes to upgrade to the second board.
(3) Meili Cloud: Rebounds and hits the limit-up within 10 minutes, with 1-5 minutes being the optimal period.
(4) Jinkai New Energy: Achieves 2 consecutive limit-ups within 20 minutes to upgrade to the second board.
3.2 Smart Grid Sector
(1) Xinneng Taishan: Achieves a one-word limit-up with a trading volume over 350 million, the larger the order book, the better.
(2) Beijing Kerei: Preferably a one-word limit-up, with the minimum standard being a large gap-up and a second limit-up.
(3) Hanlan Co.: Achieves 2 consecutive limit-ups within 20 minutes to upgrade to the second board.
3.3 Power Sector
(1) Core Stocks
① Huadian Liaoning Energy: Breaks through 7 limit-ups, aiming for 8, maintaining a bullish close without further decline; upgrading before 10 a.m. can boost market sentiment.
② Liaoning Energy: Confirmed as a one-word limit-up, indicating a rebound position.
③ Energy-saving Wind Power: Avoids further decline, prioritizing weak-to-strong upgrades; after a break, watch for N-shaped rebounds or low-level catch-up opportunities.
(2) Related Stocks: China Energy Construction: Bullish before 10 a.m., oscillating without further decline, providing sector support.
3.4 Photovoltaic Sector
(1) Zhongli Group: Achieves 4 consecutive limit-ups within 15 minutes, the faster the better.
(2) Tuori New Energy: Completes 3 limit-ups within 15 minutes.
(3) Haitian Co.: Achieves a one-word limit-up with a large order book exceeding 250 million.
4 Key Market Observation Points
**
4.1 Volume and Sentiment Correlation
(1) When volume is sufficient, funds can cover all sector targets; when volume is low, focus only on core recognizable stocks.
(2) A significant breakthrough beyond 8 limit-ups will trigger full fermentation in sectors like “Energy” stocks, power, smart grid, and photovoltaics.
4.2 Core Linked Stocks
China Energy Construction (China Energy) is a multi-attribute stock; its trend before 10 a.m. supports sectors such as computing power, power, smart grid, and photovoltaics.