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Goldman Sachs: Export Demand for China's Electric Vehicles and Other Industries May Warm Up Amid Upside Risks to Oil Prices
How will AI and energy price fluctuations drive the development of clean technology trade?
【Goldman Sachs: Rising Oil Prices May Boost Export Demand for Electric Vehicles and Other Industries in China】Caixin, March 23 — Goldman Sachs’ macroeconomic team mentioned in their latest research report that, in the short term, Goldman Sachs’ commodities team still sees upside risks for oil prices. Low-income emerging economies are most vulnerable, as they lack large-scale oil reserves and are unable to provide substantial fiscal subsidies to protect households and businesses from rising energy costs. In the medium term, Goldman Sachs’ macroeconomic team believes that extreme fluctuations in energy prices caused by conflicts in the Middle East may lead oil-importing countries to focus on strengthening energy supply security in the coming years. China is a leader in key industries such as electric vehicles, batteries, and power generation equipment, and from 2027 onward, China’s exports and growth may benefit from increased global demand for these products.