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[Early Morning Trend Analysis]
1. K-line Pattern: Daily chart, on March 26th, a massive bearish candle with a long lower shadow closed, breaking through multiple support levels, indicating strong bearish momentum. However, there is some buying support below. On the hourly chart, after a sharp decline, recent candles (02:00) show a slight rebound, but with small real bodies, and the 04:00 candle has a long upper shadow, indicating selling pressure above.
2. Technical Indicators: MACD: On the hourly chart, both the DIFF and DEA lines are deep below the zero line, indicating an overall downtrend. Recently, DIF crossed above DEA, and the MACD histogram turned positive, forming a short-term golden cross, suggesting a possible short-term rebound, but caution is needed regarding its sustainability in a bear market. RSI: The hourly RSI once dropped to oversold levels (21.14), now rebounded to 35.89, moving out of the oversold zone. This typically indicates a short-term oversold rebound, but it has not entered a strong zone, implying limited rebound momentum. EMA: On the hourly chart, EMA7(2064.81), EMA30(2099.63), EMA120(2129.48$ETH are in a bearish alignment, with the price below all EMAs, clearly indicating a current downtrend. EMA30 and EMA120 will form important dynamic resistance levels.
3. Volume: Daily chart, on March 26th, the decline was accompanied by massive volume, confirming the validity of the downtrend and strong bearish force. On the hourly chart, recent declines have been accompanied by increased volume (e.g., 01:00), while the current slight rebound shows significantly reduced volume (e.g., 06:00 with only 1650), indicating a lack of strong buying support for the rebound and possibly just a technical correction during the decline.