Galaxy Futures: The US and Iran are both talking and fighting, precious metals markets remain volatile

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Currently, Trump has postponed the attack on Iran’s energy facilities by 10 days. Although Iran has not officially confirmed negotiations, it has called for a ceasefire and responded to the U.S. 15-point plan, leading to a standoff where both sides are engaging in both talks and confrontation. Meanwhile, the U.S. continues to deploy ground troops to the Middle East, and the possibility of war escalation cannot be ruled out. Coupled with market concerns that Trump may take unexpected actions over the weekend, gold and silver prices have pulled back. Moving forward, two risks should be watched: first, due to energy prices, the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period; second, some central banks that previously bought large amounts of gold may sell gold to address short-term liquidity and exchange rate risks, creating upward pressure on gold and silver. Additionally, attention should be paid to the movements of U.S. ground forces, as well as geopolitical developments and the associated tail risks (escalation of conflict). (Galaxy Futures)

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