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Polymarket new: "When will the Trump administration end the criminal investigation into Powell?" Probability of ending before June is currently reported at 56%.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new event titled “When will the Trump government terminate the criminal investigation into Powell,” with the probability of termination before April 30 reported at 39%, and the probability before June 30 reported at 56%. This market relies on official information from the U.S. federal government or widely trusted media reports as its primary settlement basis. If the investigation is explicitly terminated before the corresponding time and has not entered the accusation or prosecution stage, it will be deemed “yes”; otherwise, it will be “no.”
This investigation stems from Powell’s testimony to Congress regarding the Federal Reserve headquarters renovation issue in June 2025. The current president, Trump, previously stated in an interview that there are no immediate plans to advance the related investigation and emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve, with his team members also supporting Powell to complete his term.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, witnessing changes before pricing.