U.S. Treasury bonds edge higher as the Federal Reserve holds steady as expected

MaticHoleFiller · 2026-03-27T09:31:54+00:00

The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, with expectations of one rate cut in the next two years, leading to a slight strengthening of U.S. Treasury futures. Short-term yields rise, long-term yields remain flat, and the 2s10s spread narrows. The market anticipates about a 22 basis point rate cut at the December meeting.

MaticHoleFiller

2026-03-27 09:31:54

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As the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged and continues to forecast a rate cut in each of the next two years, U.S. Treasury futures have seen a slight uptick.

The short-end yields rose by 2 basis points during the day, retreating from intraday highs; long bonds remained relatively stable, causing the 2s10s spread to flatten by about 1 basis point.

The changes in OIS linked to the Federal Reserve meeting were minimal, reflecting the market’s expectation of a rate cut of about 22 basis points by the December meeting, roughly in line with levels before the policy statement was released.

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Editor: Ding Wenwu

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