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Opinion: Bitcoin will enter the final accumulation phase of this cycle, with a maximum decline possibly exceeding 40%
ME News Report, April 2nd (UTC+8), according to analyst Alicharts, Bitcoin has fallen 52% from its peak in October 2025. On February 27th, a 3-day SMA crossover signal appeared (the death cross of the 50-week and 200-week SMAs), which has now lasted for 30 days. Historical patterns suggest that within 3-6 days, the final accumulation window of this cycle may occur. Alicharts pointed out that historical records show that in every major cycle since 2014, the crossover of the 50 and 200 SMAs marked the absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles indicate that 23-33 days after the crossover, there is a final decline of 40-52%, completing the bear market shakeout. The potential shakeout target for this cycle is between $30k and $40k, before the next bull market begins. (Source: ChainCatcher)