Raphael Lopez Aliaga's probability of winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election drops by 37.0 percentage points in a single day

ME News Report, April 14th (UTC+8), according to prediction market data, under the event “Winner of the Peruvian Presidential Election,” the probability of the “Yes” option for the question “Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election” decreased from 61.5% to 24.5%, a drop of 37.0 percentage points in one day.

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