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GateUser-8af0adcf

2026-04-16 10:15:56

Bloomberg data desk today (so far): 0 oil tankers through Hormuz.

Bloomberg Predict (June): 52% odds traffic normalizes by June.
Polymarket (May): 60% odds by May.
Earlier deadline, higher odds. Same chokepoint, different reality model.
I’m not trying to outsmart tanker tape.

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