Gumg

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Age 1.3 Year
Peak Tier 0
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unpopular opinion:
many people who already have the money to thrive in the era of AGI are going to be in the permanent underclass.
they will lose it all chasing an imaginary target with no basis or meaning.
if you have $1M+...you're good.
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longed silver → down 47%
longed korean equities → down 22%
now shorting SPY and posting doom
CT is the best counter indicator
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This is what Claude has to say about Solana
→ SOL is down 68% from its ATH of $293. Same price as early 2021.
→ SOL is a far better asset today than it was in 2021.
++ ETFs
++ 2 Years with no outages
++ Supply is better distributed, no more FTX shadow
++ Flipped Ethereum on almost every metric except for TVL and Market Cap
→ Assuming BTC +$100K, the 1-year base case $180-$250 (50%)
The main risk is complacency. Similar to Ethereum when it downplayed the growth of Solana.
SOL-3.44%
ETH-3.07%
BTC-2.6%
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You were DYING to buy $SOL at $290 and COPING for selling lower
Now you see this chart and don't think it's even worth a bounce?
> Yes, it can go lower this year
> Yes, it can bounce to $120 before lower this year
Both outcomes are true, don't forget bear rallies are tough
SOL-3.44%
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Hopium of the day: Bitcoin has not closed a single weekly or candle below the 2021 ATH close
It needs to go below $65.5K to do so.
With stocks dumping hard, this could be the week BTC shows strength.
BTC-2.6%
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Stock markets are CRASHING today BUT Bitcoin is up 10% from the war flash crash
We all asked ourselves what would happen to Bitcoin if stocks started correcting
So far it is behaving surprisingly well, so much so that the $71K break could happen when stocks find their bottom
BTC-2.6%
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blackrock has a $56B bitcoin etf after they max shilled it as a hedge against uncertainty
I'd say there is a LOT of uncertainty around the future
The chop is still a probable scenario but I am bullish for a bounce to near $80K
BTC-2.6%
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crypto is fucking useless
except when a war starts on a saturday and it's the only market on the planet where 8 billion people can hedge, trade, and move money
but yeah, it has no use case
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Solana is the worst blockchain
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fucking crazy
some people really expected a crash to $40K when the Iran war was being PRICED IN FOR WEEKS
this also while bears failed to make new lows on MAX FEAR
this is the cleanest setup for a bounce to $80K
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The reaction from Bitcoin and alts like HYPE has been positive
Blackrock shilled BTC as an uncertainty hedge so I'm expecting flows to accelerate after +$800M last week
I bought Gold and Defense Stocks over the last 2 weeks in the event of a war and am expecting a gap up on Monday
As for the war, I offer no commentary other than the hope that it ends quickly and that the best outcome for humanity is achieved
BTC-2.6%
HYPE-3.81%
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Spent a few nights in nature and with a campfire at night
After years in crypto I can easily detect a burnout in early stage
Stay healthy, friends
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Bulls, pray!
Bitcoin did a higher low at $62K, only spent 1 day below the 200 Monthly MA which is very bullish
Rumours that Jane Street was the biggest seller and they have stopped buying
It all comes down to how leveraged the shorts are (a lot) and the NVDA earnings today
BTC-2.6%
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Meta is literally talking about jumping into Stablecoins
In the past this would've sent BTC +20%
Today we can't even get Bitcoin to close green 😭
BTC-2.6%
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There is fear around US x Iran that is stopping everyone from allocating, while also being overly bearish
> People are betting on AI being topped while also betting that AI will eat up the world in the next 6 months
> SPY is down 2% from ATH, bears are celebrating as if we're in a massive bear market
> BTC down 50%, somehow people are afraid Iran strikes will push it further down, so don't bid and/or sell
A lot of the bad is being priced in while BTC has been down for months and months, and stocks don't seem to crack yet even with max fear
Very difficult market to read atm, can find as many re
BTC-2.6%
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BTC at $126K: institutional adoption will get us to $1M in 2026
BTC at $60K in 2026: institutional adoption has destroyed crypto
BTC-2.6%
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If you're a bull, this is not what you want
USDT supply has been downtrending for the past 2 months
- Peaked December 30th, 2026
- Down $4B from peak
Generally goes up for months after the $BTC ATH top
This time it did so for ~3 months post-October ATH
BTC-2.6%
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