#美联储降息25个基点# The Fed's interest rate cuts have landed as expected, can the crypto market start a new bull run?
Market analysts and institutions have provided various perspectives on the market trends following the interest rate cut:
Bullish voices dominate the mainstream:
Anthony Pompliano believes that interest rate cuts will bring cheap capital to assets like Bitcoin, and the bull run is not over yet.
Tom Lee pointed out that the biggest beneficiaries of interest rate cuts will be the Nasdaq 100 Index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and small-cap stocks.
Analysis of related platforms shows that the money supply indicators are highly correlated with Bitcoin prices. The weakening of the dollar due to interest rate cuts will enhance liquidity and support a long-term optimistic outlook for coin prices, but caution is still needed.
Dan Morehead believes that Bitcoin's share of global wealth is still low and is expected to reach $750,000 in the next four to five years.
The Bit report indicates that Bitcoin has recovered the key support level of $112,500 after holding the low point of $107,500, showing signs of market stabilization.
Encryption analyst @ali_charts observed that the Bitcoin seller risk ratio has dropped below 0.1%, which usually indicates a local bottom and accumulation phase.
However, risks still exist:
David Kelly of JPMorgan Asset Management sees signs of a gradual slowdown in the U.S. economy and believes that rate cuts may not be able to reverse the cyclical pressures in the industry. Historical experience during a rate cut cycle indicates that markets often experience volatility in the early stages of a rate cut cycle, but typically see asset prices rise thereafter.
For cryptocurrency investors: Focus on liquidity improvement:
The expectation of liquidity expansion brought about by interest rate cuts is the core factor supporting asset prices. Seize the opportunity at this stage: after the market digests the expectations, the actual implementation of interest rate cuts may bring about a new round of upward momentum.
Maintain a long-term perspective: Bitcoin's share in global wealth allocation is still low, with huge long-term growth potential. The Fed's interest rate cuts are just the beginning, and the global liquidity environment is undergoing significant changes.
History tells us that a loose monetary cycle often creates a friendly environment for risk assets. Although short-term volatility is inevitable, improvements in the macro environment may become an important catalyst for a new round of increases in the crypto market. Investors should closely monitor subsequent economic data, Fed policy signals, and changes in market liquidity, managing risk while seizing opportunities. In this market where there is no "risk-free path," maintaining rationality and adhering to a long-term perspective may be the best strategy.