Economists are "extremely confident" that the bull run is not over! The super cycle will continue and fluctuations will be more moderate.

Renowned economist Alex Krüger recently refuted market concerns about the end of the Crypto Assets bull run cycle, stating that the current bearish sentiment is actually a golden opportunity for contrarian buying. His proposed "super cycle" theory predicts that this bull run will last longer and have smaller Fluctuation, rather than the traditional rapid decline after a crazy peak.

Bearish sentiment turns into bullish signal

Krüger pointed out in a post on X (formerly Twitter) on August 30 that most Crypto Assets charts currently appear fragmented and weak, but this is a typical characteristic of the market bottoming out.

He cited a large number of recent bull liquidations as evidence of "surrender" and emphasized that the best buying opportunities often arise during times of "panic among everyone" rather than "celebration among all."

BTC and ETH lead the fall, altcoins stabilize

Krüger observed that the recent fall is mainly concentrated on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), while some altcoins have stopped plummeting during the session. This kind of divergence usually indicates that the market is about to welcome a rebound.

He is optimistic about the upcoming week and believes that the next meeting of the Federal Reserve will be a key turning point for market trends.

Super Cycle: Longer, More Stable, Less Crash

Regarding the duration of the current bull run, Krüger proposed the concept of a "super cycle"—key assets will continue to rise, but with a lower rate of increase and smaller pullbacks, avoiding the crazy peaks and deep retracements typically seen at the end of traditional bull runs.

He does not anticipate a breakout market in 2025, the only exception being Solana (SOL) which may experience a rapid rise due to accumulated demand. He believes the peak of the next bull run may come in 2026 after changes in the composition of the Federal Reserve.

Refuting the "September Must Fall" and Market Panic Sentiment

Regarding the notion of a "September bearish seasonal trend," Krüger stated that it is "statistical nonsense," merely a psychological effect of the market seeking patterns.

He pointed out that the prices of put options in the options market are higher than those of call options, indicating that investor panic is high, which creates opportunities for contrarian positioning.

Moreover, he believes that even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, it is unlikely to become a catalyst for a market crash.

Structural Collapse? Krüger: Just Temporary Fluctuation

Krüger emphasized that the current market weakness is not a structural collapse, but a short-term fluctuation driven by liquidation. As weak positions are cleared, the market is expected to gradually recover in the upcoming trading cycles.

Conclusion

In the midst of spreading pessimism and panic, Krüger's perspective injects a shot of adrenaline into the market. His "super cycle" theory suggests that this round of bull run may continue in a more stable and lasting manner, rather than a rapid peak followed by a sharp fall. For investors, this may be a crucial moment to reassess positions and lay out long-term strategies.