Hedera (HBAR) Price Faces End of Golden Cross: Bearish Signals Emerge in 2025

Hedera (HBAR), a leading enterprise blockchain, is at a critical juncture as its two-month Golden Cross weakens, signaling potential bearish pressure as of September 30, 2025. Trading at $0.215, HBAR risks a Death Cross if the 200-day EMA overtakes the 50-day EMA, according to BeInCrypto's analysis. With volatility rising and support levels under scrutiny, this shift could impact its $7.5 billion market cap, offering insights for crypto investors navigating Q4 trends.

What Is the Golden Cross Situation?

The Golden Cross, a bullish indicator where the 50-day EMA crosses above the 200-day EMA, has supported HBAR's momentum since mid-2025. However, as of 5:19 PM JST on September 30, 2025, this pattern narrows, risking a bearish Death Cross. Current price action shows HBAR within a descending wedge, with $0.205 as critical support and $0.198 as the next potential drop zone if breached.

• Technical Signal: Golden Cross fading, Death Cross looming.
• Price Level: $0.215, down 2% weekly.
• Support Zone: $0.205, with $0.198 as downside target.
• Volatility: Rising, per TradingView data.

HBAR Tokenomics Overview

HBAR operates with a total supply of 50 billion, of which 50.4% (25.2 billion) is circulating as of September 2025. Allocations include 31.2% for staking rewards, 20% for the HBAR Foundation, and 48.8% for node operators and ecosystem growth, with no pre-mine. Its proof-of-stake model supports governance and transaction fees, with staking yields around 6-8% APY.

• Total Supply: 50 billion HBAR.
• Circulating Supply: 25.2 billion (50.4%).
• Allocation: 31.2% rewards, 20% foundation, 48.8% nodes.
• Utility: Governance, staking, network fees.

Why HBAR Faces Bearish Pressure in 2025

The weakening Golden Cross coincides with broader market caution, as HBAR's $0.215 price struggles to hold gains amid a 4.71% weekly forecast decline to $0.210352 by October 6, per CoinCodex. Analysts note a potential 35.59% drop to $0.285218 by October 28 if bearish trends persist. Hedera's enterprise focus remains strong, but liquidity risks and descending wedge patterns suggest a correction.

• Market Outlook: Bearish short-term, per 1-week forecast.
• Support Test: $0.205 critical to avoid $0.198 slide.
• Enterprise Edge: Stable adoption despite technicals.
• Risk Factor: Liquidity squeeze in volatile Q4.

Real-World Applications of HBAR

HBAR powers enterprise use cases like supply chain tracking and micropayments, with its 10,000 TPS capacity. Staking offers retail investors 6-8% APY, while developers build dApps for tokenized assets in emerging markets.

• Enterprise Use: High-throughput supply chains.
• Yield Farming: 6-8% APY for stakers.
• DApp Development: Tokenized solutions on Hedera.
• Global Reach: Micropayments for remittances.

Conclusion

Hedera (HBAR) faces a pivotal moment with its Golden Cross fading, signaling potential bearish pressure in 2025's Q4 market. This shift underscores the need for strategic positioning in the evolving blockchain ecosystem.