Ethereum Dips Into Capitulation Zone: Analyst Reveals What Could Come Next

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Ethereum (ETH) has begun to show signs of recovery following a sharp decline earlier this week that brought its price down to $1,471. As of today, the asset is trading at around $1,570, representing a 4.8% increase over the past 24 hours.

Ethereum remains under broader market pressure despite the rebound as analysts assess its short-term and long-term positioning. One of the focal points of current market analysis centers around Ethereum’s Realized Price metric.

This on-chain indicator recalculates the network’s market value based on the last price each ETH coin moved, providing insight into the average acquisition cost across the blockchain. When ETH trades below this realized price, it often reflects a bearish sentiment and increased selling pressure as holders find themselves underwater.

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ETH Falls Below Realized Price Level

According to on-chain analyst and CryptoQuant contributor theKriptolik, Ethereum’s recent dip has taken it below its Realized Price. This development carries important market implications. The analyst noted:

Each ETH is evaluated based on the price it was last transferred at. When you average out all those prices, you get the Realized Price. This gives us a much more “realistic” sense of what the average investor paid for their ETH — and it often paints a very different picture from the current market price.

Realized Price frequently acts as a psychological support or resistance level. Trading above it typically indicates investor confidence and support; trading below it suggests mounting resistance.

The analyst outlined three core takeaways: First, a drop below Realized Price tends to coincide with an increase in loss-driven selling as investors react to being in the red.

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Second, such events are often associated with the capitulation phase, where confidence erodes and widespread selling occurs. Lastly, historical data shows that ETH falling below this metric has often aligned with market bottoms and preceded subsequent long-term recoveries. theKriptolik wrote

Past data shows that whenever ETH dips below its realized price, it’s often coincided with long-term bottom zones. These periods have consistently been followed by strong recoveries — making them strategic accumulation points for long-term investors. You can see this clearly reflected in the chart below.

Ethereum realized price for accumulation addresses. | Source: CryptoQuant## What This Means for Ethereum Investors

While the Realized Price breach signals short-term volatility, it may also represent a potential accumulation zone. Past cycles have seen Ethereum rebound significantly after such movements.

Ethereum Price Has Dropped Below Its Realized Price

“Past data shows that whenever ETH dips below its realized price, it often coincides with long-term bottom zones.” – By @theKriptolik pic.twitter.com/cVRgufkqlc

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 8, 2025

Still, ongoing market conditions and sentiment will be critical in determining whether this marks a durable bottom or a temporary pause in a broader downtrend.

ETH price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.comFeatured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView