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The probability of "the U.S. government shutting down until November 16 and beyond" on Polymarket is currently reported at 57%.

On November 8, according to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of “the U.S. government shutdown ending between November 8 and 11” is currently reported at 8%. The probability for it ending between November 12 and 15 is 34%; the probability for it ending after November 16 is 57%.

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