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Why did BTC plummet? Risk assets are definitely the first to be sold off in an investment portfolio. The higher the risk, the earlier they are sold, such as ETH, SOL, altcoins, and meme coins, which have already been sold off.
BTC will drop to a price beyond your imagination this year—a super bear market. Are there still people who think it can rise to 150,000 or 200,000? A few months ago, many said it could go to 200,000.

Today, Bitcoin has once again triggered a massive wave of bullish traders. Even if it drops to 61,000, it can only trigger over 1.3 billion in long positions; but if it rises to 76,000, it can trigger over 2.2 billion in short positions. The recent market has been fluctuating back and forth, repeatedly shaking out both bulls and bears. Now that the longs are almost exhausted, what will the big players do next? Stay tuned.

Ending the war as soon as possible may be wishful thinking on Trump's part. A quick resolution is unrealistic. The U.S. side's 15:00 demands are extremely high, while Iran's 5:00 bottom line is non-negotiable. Iran has also stated officially: When the war ends depends on Iran, not Trump. What if you can't beat us? Fighting to the death puts you in a dilemma. Moreover, Israel is the biggest external obstacle to a ceasefire.
Most likely, it will be a process of ongoing negotiations with low-intensity conflict; a less likely scenario is a stalemate with gradual de-escalation; a full-scale escalat

Ending the war as soon as possible may be wishful thinking on Trump's part; a quick resolution is unrealistic. The U.S. side's 15:00 demands are extremely high, while Iran's 5:00 bottom line is non-negotiable. Iran has also stated officially: "When the war ends depends on Iran, not Trump." What if you can't beat us? Fighting to the death puts you in a dilemma. Moreover, Israel is the biggest external obstacle to a ceasefire.
The most likely scenario is a combination of ongoing negotiations and low-intensity conflict; a less likely scenario is a stalemate with gradual de-escalation; escalation

Oil prices are fluctuating up and down with choppy price action, just like baccarat where the banker and player alternate wins—making it impossible to place large bets. In the short term, there's no clear directional setup for either longs or shorts. The only viable approach is to reduce position sizes and take profits manually in a timely manner or use scaled limit orders for stop profit levels. If price breaks above, go short on new highs; if it breaks below, go long on new lows. During consolidation in the middle range, you can only maintain conservative positions and grind it out.

Oil prices fluctuate up and down with choppy price action, like baccarat where the banker wins one hand and the player wins the next—it's impossible to place heavy bets. In the short term, there's no clear directional bias for either long or short positions. The only strategy is to reduce position size, take profits manually in a timely manner, or use scaled profit-taking orders. Break above and short the new high, break below and long the new low. For the oscillating range in between, you can only maintain conservative positions and collect small gains.

Gold continues to fall to new lows, and the S&P 500 index has been declining continuously. What is the reason BTC is no longer falling in tandem?
I have been warning for weeks that US stocks will crash and AI will undergo a major shakeup. Let me go back to why BTC is not falling in sync?
Look at the monitoring of main capital flow on valuescan. Currently there is still over 4 billion accumulated, likely because the main capital hasn't completely escaped yet and wants to continue consolidating for a while longer.
Another reason is that the consolidation period during the decline to 60,000 was t

These past few days it's basically been swinging back and forth between 73000 and 76000, with not much volatility. Neither bulls nor bears have dared to push hard, and trading volume hasn't picked up much either, which suggests everyone is just waiting and watching.
In the short term, we'll likely see the price grinding out a bottom within this range. If volume picks up and breaks through 76000, there could be another bounce higher; but if it breaks below 73000, it might test the previous lows. For now, I'm not seeing any clear reversal signals yet.

$DOGE You're asking why I'm bullish on Dogecoin? Let me explain it this way. Dogecoin has been declining since May 2021 until now - a 5-year decline with a total drop of less than 10x. However, from January 28 to January 29, 2021, just two days, Dogecoin surged from 0.007 to 0.08, nearly a 12x increase in two days.

This week's market action is thrilling
This week's market has been a warm current
$BTC moved from 6.7W to 7.39W, forming a double top
Then it dropped to 7.03W, and today it rallied to 7.18W
This is a very positive signal, it didn't break below 7W
I have two views for next week's market:
First scenario: The most likely is accelerated uptrend!
Second scenario: Continued consolidation between 6.8-7.5W
In the short term over the next week, I'm not expecting a decline

On Tuesday, MSTR closed down slightly by 0.35%. During the day, BTC rebounded but did not surpass last night's high of 71,750. Intraday resistance levels are at 70,800 for BTC, 2,050 for ETH, and 87.5 for SOL.
Tonight, the February CPI will be released. Some major players may choose to wait and see in advance, so last night there was a false breakout to the upside. If tonight's CPI data is positive, BTC could rebound to 72,500 or 73,250. If the data is negative, follow the trend directly. However, based on the 12-hour and daily trend levels, there is still a significant chance of a further upw

On Monday, the US-Iran tensions eased, and bullish sentiment immediately picked up. Ignoring the fundamental news, the market approached the end of the correction starting Sunday night, as the 8-hour level showed a halt in decline, indicating a fishhook pattern for the correction. Therefore, from Monday to Wednesday, the main expectation is for a rebound. CPI data will be released on Wednesday evening; if the data is positive, there could be another rebound during Thursday daytime, and then shorting at the top of this rebound would be the best strategy, aiming to short near the week's high. If

Currently, friends who are shorting can open 3x short positions at 72500.
Mistresses can lay in wait for short positions at 2115 and 2159.
You can also wait for the hourly divergence to directly go short.
Bear market divergence at the top is very effective; it usually leads to a decline.
Caution is advised when bottom divergence occurs in a bear market.
It often results in a sideways rally before continuing to fall. Stay tuned.

If you firmly believe that the four-year bull and bear cycle law for BTC still holds, then don't waver. When a cyclical bottom appears and this rebound wave reaches the predicted maximum resistance "top," you must sell. Don't wait until it hits 83,000 and then start thinking about 88,000, 92,000, or 100,000. Especially for those caught in a trap, once you have exited, you must sell. Don't be tempted again by the voices calling for 150,000.
On the evening of February 5th, I posted a forecast for this rebound, believing that many people would judge it as a "bull return" at that time. The bullish

In the next 3-6 months, just focus on two things:
Waiting and Learning
It's clear that everyone is eager for a major upward wave, but such a wave requires accumulation. It’s impossible to start a new trend just a month after a big drop—that's wishful thinking!
Protect your principal, stay sensitive to the market, wait for lower-priced opportunities, and maintain your enthusiasm for learning. This way, you'll be better prepared for the next market cycle.
Ethereum at 1300

After 4 PM yesterday, the European market rebounded before the US stock market opened. Everyone who took long profits should have done so. It's okay if you didn't exit; it will continue to push higher next week. Last night, after the US stock market opened, it declined. On Thursday, the MSTR closed down 4.53%, digesting and correcting the 10% gain from Wednesday. Today during the day, it retraced to gather strength, and next week it will continue to push higher to new highs.

During this period, BTC, ETH, and SOL can be used for coin-margined long positions. As the coin prices rise, the amount of coins also increases, doubling GDP. However, coin-margined leverage mainly uses medium to low multiples, with positions below 18%. Try to avoid forced liquidation and harvest in batches. When the rebound reaches 80,000-83,000, sell the profits first. Stay persistent.

If you firmly believe that the four-year bull and bear cycle law for BTC still holds, then don't waver. When a cyclical bottom appears and this rebound wave reaches the predicted maximum resistance "top," you must run. Don't wait until it hits 83,000 and then start looking at 88,000, 92,000, or 100,000. Especially for those caught in a trap, once you get out, you must sell. Don't be tempted again by the voices calling for 150,000.
On the evening of February 5th, I posted a forecast for this rebound, believing that many people would judge it as a "bull return" at that time. The bullish and bear

Trading stocks and cryptocurrencies is the most basic and simplest method, but also the most effective, very suitable for retail investors. I've been using it ever since. There are only eight points:
1. Continuous small increases will lead to a big rise; if there's a continuous big rise, exit quickly.
2. When the market drops, it moves sideways, with small gains.
3. When the market drops and still shows small gains, a big rise is coming.
4. When the market rises, it consolidates sideways, with small declines.
5. When the market rises and still shows small declines, a big decline is coming.
6.

BTC 74,000 has finally been reached this time, the first Fibonacci level of the 59,800-97,932 decline wave. It rose too much on Wednesday and needs correction. Watch out for a pullback.
Tonight in the late hours, there will be the Federal Reserve's Beige Book. If the whales want to cause trouble, they usually will pin the price, so caution is advised. However, the overall outlook remains bullish, haha.