Track real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, April 11, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like it and make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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After Trump's 180-degree turn, the market saw a significant asset surge that lasted only one day, with the S&P briefly approaching a circuit breaker. The economic issues in the U.S. remain unresolved, and the market is as nervous as a startled bird. Additionally, the CPI data released last night did not strengthen the Federal Reserve's expectations for interest rate cuts in the short term. According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 73.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 26.6%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates in June is 13.9%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 64.6% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut at 21.5%. Last night, U.S. stocks experienced another severe fluctuation. As of Thursday's close, the three major indices faced a downturn, with the Dow initially down 2.5%, the S&P 500 down 3.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 4.3%, wiping out half of the historic gains from the previous day. The crypto market has once again fallen into a phase of significant volatility and consolidation.

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Bitcoin's evening session peaked at 82548 under pressure. The favorable CPI data in the evening also failed to drive the market up. After the U.S. stock market opened, it started low and continued downward, further increasing the downward pressure on the market. A strong one-sided drop reached 78400, and after touching the bottom, the market began to oscillate and consolidate again, currently operating around the 79600 line. The upward force provided by the bulls is also limited, while the bears are gradually testing the previous lows. As it stands, the bearish strength should not be underestimated. The upward movement from the bulls is only temporary, and they haven't even broken the previous high points recently, so where is the bull market? From the short-term hourly chart, it can be seen that the one-sided volume is still insufficient, and it is mostly showing in a fluctuating form. Currently, before breaking through the strong resistance above, it is perfectly fine to short around the highs.

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After yesterday's data release, Ethereum has limited room for rebound. The bullish rebound strength was below expectations and was suppressed before reaching the key resistance level. The positive CPI from yesterday only touched the 1627 line before starting to pull back, with a minimum drop to the 1471 line before rebounding. Currently, it is consolidating around 1520. The previous rebound has faced significant resistance at the key resistance level, showing a lack of upward momentum. From the daily chart, the trend completely aligns with market expectations, presenting a continuous downward trend. Prices continue to pull back, and after breaking below the key support level, bearish sentiment has intensified, leading to a noticeable increase in market selling pressure. From the hourly chart, prices have consecutively broken through multiple short-term supports, and the downward trend is still ongoing, with obvious signs of a halt in the decline in the short term. Although there have been slight rebounds during the session, the strength is extremely limited, making it difficult to reverse the current downward trend, with a focus on short positions in the morning.