🌹 Although Bitcoin fell below the previous low, don't be overly bearish + entanglement Illustration Lecture 13

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People not only need forward-thinking ideas but also a visionary perspective. A few months ago, I mentioned that the U.S. stock market had entered a double top formation, and I didn't expect this day to come so quickly. Last night's U.S. stock performance made people break out in a cold sweat. At this point, I actually won't be bearish on the U.S. stock market. Drawing from the 1929 U.S. stock market crash, these movements are merely a precursor, essentially just a downward test.
🌹 ======================= When everyone can see that the U.S. stock market is about to collapse, then it can't collapse, waiting for others to short it? The market trend is step by step, and such a smooth thing will not be in the market, it only exists in people's dreams. The next market will only hit a bottom and then change hands.
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A collapse is also a sudden one. A tariff policy did not destroy the existing value; it merely underestimated the expected future value. It is often said that stock trading is about expectations, and the true value must eventually return. Throughout history, every crisis has come with great upheaval, and each upheaval has led to a new beginning—a historical low that takes years to reach.
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🌹 The crisis on the face is not terrible at all, what is terrible is the hidden crisis. The weakness of human nature makes people have the urge to occupy all opportunities, this time it will not chase within a few days, and after rising to a big high, I began to feel that the crisis was gone, and I entered the market again, this time the entry may be a risk of burying people, because you have faith, you have a reference point, you will not disarm and surrender, the front is all temptation, this time it is real, then I'm sorry the game is over. 
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In any case, there will still be a limit. If the US stock market completely collapses, the global economy will fall into a recession for 10 years. This is a reference from a book written by the Japanese titled "The Lost Thirty Years": "The Japanese economy, from its peak, saw a boom in manufacturing, exports, and financial trade. When this prosperity was punctured, assets began to plummet, companies fell into debt crises, the government faced high debt, and the economy fell into a great depression. The entire market economy tipped over, people became unemployed, and life became unbearable for the populace."
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🌹With previous lessons learned, I believe the United States would not dare to play like this, as continuing down that path would lead to losing its strength. Trump's campaign slogan is: "Make America Great Again"; from this slogan, it is clear that the United States has entered a period of decline. The biggest problem Trump wants to solve now is the "36 billion dollar debt issue", while at the same time leveraging policy pressure and demanding that the largest "private bank in the world - the Federal Reserve" loosen its monetary policy.
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( We won't go into deeper things, otherwise many concepts need to be popularized, such as the Federal Reserve being a private bank and not owned by the United States; for example, the Eye of Providence on the dollar, many people have never heard of it, but these are real facts ).
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🌹In the past, I have told everyone that monetary zc easing and tightening are the most effective means to regulate the economy. When monetary zc is eased, the economic market flourishes like spring; if monetary zc is tightened, it is like winter, with everything in disarray waiting for revitalization. Those who understand these economic lifelines are the Federal Reserve, and Trump cannot intervene in the Federal Reserve. All of this is Trump's conspiracy, forcing the Federal Reserve to release liquidity and lower interest rates to alleviate funding and economic issues.
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Since taking office, there has been a significant reduction in staff and departmental cuts, all aimed at reducing unnecessary expenses, indicating that the U.S. government is out of money, unable to afford basic necessities. It's clear to everyone that departments are struggling to operate. If salaries haven’t been paid for months, even if you were offered the position of presidential assistant, you wouldn’t want to do it.
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#pi #sol #xrp #eth #btc