Analysts: It is expected that the tariff war is far from over, and market uncertainty will persist for a long time

On April 18, Greeks.live analyst Adam said that the market has been much milder this week, and Trump has not released so much news this week, and the market has cooled rapidly. Short-term RV is currently only 30%, and IV has also dropped sharply this week, falling below 40%. Medium- to long-term RV is between 50% and 60%, and IV is concentrated around 50%. Greeks.live It is expected that the trade war and tariff war are far from over, and the market uncertainty will continue for a long time, and the market volatility will continue for a long time. Deliveries account for less than 10% of total open interest, and PCR has been at a high level recently, reflecting that the market’s fears of decline clearly outweigh expectations of growth. Options open interest remained around 25% in both April and June, and the market structure is relatively solid, with a high probability of a sideways trade. But now is the painful period of the bull completely turning bear, investor sentiment is relatively sluggish, in this poor bull to bear market, the probability of black swan will be significantly increased, buy some deep out-of-the-money bearish will be a good choice.