According to the market dynamics on April 19, 2025, and the technical analysis of Ethereum (ETH), combined with key levels and risk factors, the following trading strategy has been developed.

Core Strategies and Levels
1. Buy on support level rebound
-Entry criteria: Price stabilizes in the range of 1,550-1,580 USD (strong support on the daily chart, validated by multiple tests recently), combined with an increase in hourly trading volume or a bottom divergence signal.
- Target: First target 1,620-1,650 USD (EMA15 resistance zone), after breaking through look towards 1,680 USD.
- Stop loss: Strictly set below $1,530, with risk control within 3%.
2. Breakthrough to Long
- Entry conditions: If the price stabilizes above $1,650 (4-hour Bollinger Band middle band resistance), a 4-hour close is required to confirm a valid breakout, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate must stop falling and start to rise.
- Target: Short-term outlook towards $1,700-1,720 (previous high resistance area), and if broken, look towards $1,750.
- Stop loss: dynamically move up below $1,620 to protect profits.
3. Resistance level short selling
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to the 1,680-1,700 USD area facing resistance, showing a stagnation signal (such as a 4-hour KDJ death cross, long upper shadow, or false breakout).
- Target: Pull back to $1,620-$1,650, if broken look for $1,580.
- Stop Loss: Set above $1,720 to avoid the risk of trend reversal.
Market risks and correlated factors
- Technical pressure: The daily EMA15 continues to decline to $1,645, with the upper Bollinger Band capped at $1,678. The short-term trend is bearish, and caution should be exercised against false breakouts.
- BTC correlation: If Bitcoin falls below the psychological threshold of $80,000, it may drag ETH down for a correction. Conversely, breaking above $85,000 could drive ETH to rise in tandem.
- Fundamental variables: The Pectra upgrade to the mainnet is approaching (expected to be at the end of April), and if the test goes well, it may boost market sentiment, but the short-term whale selling pressure (about 630 ETH per day) still suppresses the rebound space.
Position and Risk Control
- Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3-5x, avoid heavy betting.
- Stop-loss discipline: Set stop-loss strictly. If ETH falls below $1,530 or BTC breaks below $80,000, exit decisively.
- Replenishment plan: Reserve 30% of funds for gradual entry if the price drops sharply below $1,500, betting on a technical rebound.
Summary
ETH is currently in the fluctuation range of $1,550-$1,700, mainly focusing on buying low and selling high during the day. If it stabilizes above $1,650, you can increase your position accordingly; if it breaks out, consider shorting. Keep an eye on BTC correlation and the progress of the Pectra upgrade, strictly set stop-losses to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses. #WCTC S7 报名开启 #TRUMP流通量激增 #创作者激励计划，发帖瓜分$2,000 #BTC #ETH