#Fed May Rate Forecast

📈 Markets assess the likelihood of the Fed maintaining interest rates in May at 92.3%. U.S. inflation data shows a slowdown; the consumer price index for March 2025 was 2.8%, which is below analysts' expectations, but economic growth remains weak — GDP grew only by 1.5% in the first quarter. The Fed will likely prefer a pause to evaluate long-term trends, especially considering geopolitical risks and instability in global markets, including fluctuations in oil prices and tensions in trade relations with China.
If interest rates remain at 5.25–5.5%, markets, including cryptocurrencies, may respond positively. Bitcoin, which is currently trading at $96,200 ( although it recently reached $97,893.1 $) may continue to rise. After the Fed's pause, investors are likely to direct capital into riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies. Technology companies ( such as Nvidia) and the green energy sector may attract attention, but Bitcoin, as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty, is also capable of strengthening. I predict that with stable rates, Bitcoin may test the $100,000 mark in the coming weeks, especially if the current bullish trend continues, which is supported by whale accumulation ( over the last 48 hours, they have acquired more than 20,000 BTC).
However, there are risks: if the Fed hints at tightening policy (, for example, due to rising energy prices ), it could trigger sell-offs. The dollar will strengthen, which will hit risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin could drop to support at $90,000, as analysts have noted, or even to $87,000 if the bearish scenario intensifies. The Fear and Greed Index, which was recently at a level of 61 ( "Greed" ), could shift to "Fear" if markets begin to panic.
Do you think Bitcoin will be able to surpass $100,000 in May?